Compare actual scores with estimated probabilities in Besta deildin. Each competition has its own variance, tempo and match profile, which changes how the same probability should be interpreted. The goal is to separate a merely likely scenario from a historically robust one.
Data updated on
Each competition has its own variance, tempo and match profile, which changes how the same probability should be interpreted.
This page tracks AI prediction results in Besta deildin by comparing published probabilities with actual football scores. The value lies in showing how a probabilistic reading survives contact with real match outcomes: success rate, league context, open scenarios and solid favorites. A high percentage only becomes useful when it stays coherent over a large set of comparable fixtures.