Serie A · Scheduled

First AI projection for US Lecce vs AS Roma

First AI projection for this Serie A fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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US Lecce

Standing#11

Elo rating1465

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WWLWD

Expected goals0.71

ScheduledVS

AS Roma

Standing#16

Elo rating1654

Form index100%

Last 5 matches
WWWWW

Expected goals1.53

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for AS Roma at 56.4%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 84.9%
  • Likely score0 - 1 (15.45%)
  • BTTSNo · 55.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 58.5%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

US Lecce15.1%
Draw28.5%
AS Roma56.4%

Main pickAS Roma56.4%

Confidence73.7%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

US Lecce0.71
Expected total2.24
AS Roma1.53
41.5%Over 2.5

Over 41.5% Under 58.5%

44.9%BTTS

Yes 44.9% No 55.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X43.6%
X284.9%
1271.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 115.4%
  2. Likely score 1 - 112.7%
  3. Likely score 0 - 012.5%
  4. Likely score 1 - 211.6%
  5. Likely score 0 - 29.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

US Lecce 20.9%AS Roma 46.8%

Draw no bet

US Lecce 21.1%AS Roma 78.9%

Win to nil

US Lecce 8.3%AS Roma 34.2%

Win by 2+ goals

US Lecce 3.2%AS Roma 27.6%

US Lecce vs AS Roma early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about US Lecce vs AS Roma?

The early estimate gives AS Roma a slight edge at 56.4%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 0 - 1 (15.45%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Serie A

What the data says about US Lecce vs AS Roma

This Serie A fixture places added weight on tactical balance, defensive control and the precision needed to decide a tight match.

Before kick-off, US Lecce sits 11th and AS Roma 16th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1465 for US Lecce and 1654 for AS Roma.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for US Lecce and 100% for AS Roma. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives US Lecce 15.1%, the draw 28.5% and AS Roma 56.4%. The expected-goals model projects 0.71 xG against 1.53, for a combined 2.24.