Foresportia Elo
1739Serie A rank : 3rd
AS Roma
Roma
Foresportia analyses AS Roma using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.45Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.80Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
52.6%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: AS Roma
AS Roma are enjoying a positive run, taking 13 points from the last five recorded matches in Serie A. Their attack is productive, with 17 goals scored against 7 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Serie A · 2026-2027 · 11 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | |
| 5 | 2 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates AS Roma
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Parma Calcio 1913Elo : 1443
AS RomaElo : 1729
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Parma Calcio 1913 12%Draw 24%AS Roma 63%
3. Prediction reliability for AS Roma
Data updated on 14 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
93.8%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 45.5% | 11 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 53.8% | 13 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 56.2% | 16 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 55.6% | 18 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 60.0% | 20 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 52.2% | 23 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 59.3% | 27 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 62.1% | 29 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 60.0% | 30 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 63.6% | 33 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 60.0% | 35 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 59.5% | 37 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 60.0% | 40 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 57.1% | 42 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 55.6% | 45 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 55.3% | 47 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 58.0% | 50 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 59.6% | 52 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 60.0% | 55 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 57.9% | 57 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 57.9% | 57 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 16 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 88.9% | 18 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 20 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 22 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 91.3% | 23 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 92.0% | 25 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 92.3% | 26 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 92.3% | 26 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 92.3% | 26 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 93.1% | 29 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | 93.3% | 30 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 92.3% | 13 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 93.8% | 16 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | 93.8% | 16 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for AS Roma
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.25 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.63 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for AS Roma
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 87 verified matches
6. Market signals for AS Roma
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Home win62.7%100.0%8Promising signal, limited sample
Double chance 1X72.1%88.0%25Major, well-documented signal
Home draw no bet68.3%77.8%18Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1272.4%77.4%31Major, well-documented signal
Over 2.554.9%66.7%12Success above the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
AS Roma
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
AS Roma
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
AS Roma
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
AS Roma
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, AS Roma mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
AS Roma is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.60 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.93.
The next detected match is Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 63%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 93.8% success across 16 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. AS Roma FAQ
What is the next match for AS Roma on Foresportia?
This page shows AS Roma's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read AS Roma's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for AS Roma's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for AS Roma?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for AS Roma, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
AS Roma: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, AS Roma mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
AS Roma is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.60 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.93.
The next detected match is Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 63%.