Foresportia Elo
1732Serie A rank : 1st
AS Roma
Roma
Foresportia analyses AS Roma using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.50Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.80Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
56.2%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: AS Roma
AS Roma have taken 13 points from five matches in Serie A. The team have scored 14 goals and conceded 3. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.
Serie A · 2026-2027 · 5 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates AS Roma
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Como 1907Elo : Not available
AS RomaElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for AS Roma
Data updated on 28 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
93.3%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 45.5% | 11 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 53.8% | 13 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 56.2% | 16 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 55.6% | 18 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 60.0% | 20 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 52.2% | 23 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 59.3% | 27 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 62.1% | 29 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 60.0% | 30 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 63.6% | 33 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 60.0% | 35 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 59.5% | 37 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 60.0% | 40 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 57.1% | 42 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 55.6% | 45 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 55.3% | 47 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 58.0% | 50 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 59.6% | 52 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 60.0% | 55 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 16 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 88.9% | 18 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 20 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 22 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 91.3% | 23 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 92.0% | 25 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 92.3% | 26 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 92.3% | 26 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 92.3% | 26 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 92.3% | 13 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for AS Roma
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.20 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.62 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for AS Roma
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 81 verified matches
6. Market signals for AS Roma
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X71.5%88.9%18Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1272.2%78.3%23Major, well-documented signal
Home win63.2%100.0%5Promising signal, limited sample
Home draw no bet67.1%76.9%13Success above the average probability
Double chance X269.3%61.1%18Success below the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
AS Roma
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
AS Roma
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
AS Roma
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
AS Roma
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, AS Roma mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
AS Roma is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.60 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.39.
The next confirmed match is Como 1907 vs AS Roma on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 93.3% success across 15 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. AS Roma FAQ
What is the next match for AS Roma on Foresportia?
This page shows AS Roma's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read AS Roma's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for AS Roma's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for AS Roma?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for AS Roma, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
AS Roma: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, AS Roma mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
AS Roma is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.60 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.39.
The next confirmed match is Como 1907 vs AS Roma on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.