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US Lecce

ItalySerie A2026-2027

Foresportia analyses US Lecce using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1506Serie A rank : 14th
1X2 entropy
1.49Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
51.2%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: US Lecce

US Lecce are going through a difficult run, taking 4 points from the last five recorded matches in Serie A. Their defense needs attention: 10 goals conceded against 6 scored. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Serie A · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
303
020
150
120
111

1. How Foresportia evaluates US Lecce

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1506Foresportia EloSerie A rank : 14th
1.491X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.17Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
0.80Recent formpoints / match
51.2%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Serie A

Lazio RomeElo : 1678
VS
US LecceElo : 1435
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
62%25%13%
Lazio Rome 62%Draw 25%US Lecce 13%
Main signalHome win · 62%
Model confidence64.5%
StabilityStable and above
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for US Lecce

Data updated on 14 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
94.1%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample1
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample3
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample8
2024-12Risk36.4%11
2025-01Risk46.7%15
2025-02Risk47.4%19
2025-03Risk52.4%21
2025-04Risk52.2%23
2025-05Risk46.2%26
2025-08Risk48.1%27
2025-09Risk48.3%29
2025-10Risk46.9%32
2025-11Risk45.7%35
2025-12Risk47.4%38
2026-01Risk47.5%40
2026-02Risk44.2%43
2026-03Risk45.5%44
2026-04Risk43.5%46
2026-05Risk40.8%49
2026-08Risk42.0%50
2026-09Risk43.1%51
2026-10Risk45.5%55
2026-11Risk45.6%57
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-04Correct and above90.9%11
2025-05Correct and above91.7%12
2025-08Correct and above92.3%13
2025-09Correct and above92.9%14
2025-10Correct and above93.3%15
2025-11Correct and above93.8%16
2025-12Correct and above93.8%16
2026-01Correct and above90.0%20
2026-02Correct and above90.9%22
2026-03Correct and above91.7%24
2026-04Correct and above92.3%26
2026-05Correct and above92.6%27
2026-08Correct and above92.6%27
2026-09Correct and above92.9%28
2026-10Correct and above92.9%28
2026-11Correct and above92.9%28
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2026-01Stable and above91.7%12
2026-02Stable and above92.9%14
2026-03Stable and above93.8%16
2026-04Stable and above93.8%16
2026-05Stable and above93.8%16
2026-08Stable and above93.8%16
2026-09Stable and above94.1%17
2026-10Stable and above94.1%17
2026-11Stable and above94.1%17
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-02Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-03Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-04Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-05Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-08Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-09Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-10Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-11Ultra stable90.0%10

4. Predictive profile for US Lecce

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance0.90 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance0.88 pts/matchComparable return

5. Statistical markers for US Lecce

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home0.55
Expected goals conceded at home1.22
Expected goals created away0.68
Expected goals conceded away0.97
Goals scored / match (5)1.20
Goals conceded / match (5)2.00

History: 85 verified matches

6. Market signals for US Lecce

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1270.4%88.9%27Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X75.2%65.0%20Success below the average probability
Double chance X271.8%65.0%20Confirmed signal
Both teams to score51.8%83.3%6Promising signal, limited sample
Away draw no bet73.8%63.6%11Success below the average probability

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
US Lecce
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
US Lecce
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, US Lecce still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

US Lecce still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Lazio Rome vs US Lecce on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 62%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Stable and above: 94.1% success across 17 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Serie ALeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. US Lecce FAQ

What is the next match for US Lecce on Foresportia?

This page shows US Lecce's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read US Lecce's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for US Lecce's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for US Lecce?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for US Lecce, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

US Lecce: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, US Lecce still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

US Lecce still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Lazio Rome vs US Lecce on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 62%.