Serie A · Scheduled

First AI projection for Atalanta BC vs FC Bologna

First AI projection for this Serie A fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Atalanta BC

Standing#1

Elo rating1592

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
DLWDL

Expected goals1.43

ScheduledVS

FC Bologna

Standing#2

Elo rating1541

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
DWWDL

Expected goals0.97

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Atalanta BC at 46.4%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 75.2%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (12.50%)
  • BTTSNo · 50.6%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 54.5%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Atalanta BC46.4%
Draw28.8%
FC Bologna24.8%

Main pickAtalanta BC46.4%

Confidence63.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Atalanta BC1.43
Expected total2.41
FC Bologna0.97
45.5%Over 2.5

Over 45.5% Under 54.5%

49.4%BTTS

Yes 49.4% No 50.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X75.2%
X253.6%
1271.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 012.5%
  2. Likely score 1 - 111.9%
  3. Likely score 0 - 011%
  4. Likely score 2 - 110.4%
  5. Likely score 0 - 18.3%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Atalanta BC 37.3%FC Bologna 24.2%

Draw no bet

Atalanta BC 65.2%FC Bologna 34.8%

Win to nil

Atalanta BC 26.3%FC Bologna 13.2%

Win by 2+ goals

Atalanta BC 21.8%FC Bologna 8%

Atalanta BC vs FC Bologna early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Atalanta BC vs FC Bologna?

The early estimate gives Atalanta BC a slight edge at 46.4%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 0 (12.50%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Serie A

What the data says about Atalanta BC vs FC Bologna

This Serie A fixture places added weight on tactical balance, defensive control and the precision needed to decide a tight match.

Before kick-off, Atalanta BC sits 1st and FC Bologna 2nd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1592 for Atalanta BC and 1541 for FC Bologna.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 33.3% for Atalanta BC and 53.3% for FC Bologna. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Atalanta BC 46.4%, the draw 28.8% and FC Bologna 24.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.43 xG against 0.97, for a combined 2.41.