Logo FC Bologna

FC Bologna

ItalySerie A2026-2027

Foresportia analyses FC Bologna using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1527Serie A rank : 9th
1X2 entropy
1.50Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
2.40Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
52.9%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: FC Bologna

FC Bologna are enjoying a positive run, taking 12 points from the last five recorded matches in Serie A. Their attack is productive, with 11 goals scored against 7 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Serie A · 2026-2027 · 11 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
130
203
423
213
213

1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Bologna

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1527Foresportia EloSerie A rank : 9th
1.501X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.20Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
2.40Recent formpoints / match
52.9%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Serie A

FC BolognaElo : 1576
VS
Udinese CalcioElo : 1417
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
46%30%25%
FC Bologna 46%Draw 30%Udinese Calcio 25%
Main signalHome win · 46%
Model confidence51.7%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for FC Bologna

Data updated on 14 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample3
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample6
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample9
2024-11Risk45.5%11
2024-12Risk42.9%14
2025-01Risk41.2%17
2025-02Risk42.9%21
2025-03Risk50.0%24
2025-04Risk46.4%28
2025-05Risk46.7%30
2025-08Risk50.0%32
2025-09Risk50.0%34
2025-10Risk51.4%37
2025-11Risk51.3%39
2025-12Risk46.5%43
2026-01Risk45.8%48
2026-02Risk48.1%52
2026-03Risk49.1%55
2026-04Risk50.9%57
2026-05Risk47.5%61
2026-08Risk49.2%63
2026-09Risk48.5%66
2026-10Risk50.7%71
2026-11Risk51.4%72
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-10Correct and above60.0%10
2025-11Correct and above63.6%11
2025-12Correct and above63.6%11
2026-01Correct and above66.7%12
2026-02Correct and above66.7%12
2026-03Correct and above61.5%13
2026-04Correct and above66.7%15
2026-05Correct and above66.7%15
2026-08Correct and above66.7%15
2026-09Correct and above66.7%15
2026-10Correct and above66.7%15
2026-11Correct and above66.7%15
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample1

4. Predictive profile for FC Bologna

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.49 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.61 pts/matchComparable return

5. Statistical markers for FC Bologna

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home0.98
Expected goals conceded at home0.90
Expected goals created away1.12
Expected goals conceded away0.94
Goals scored / match (5)2.20
Goals conceded / match (5)1.40

History: 87 verified matches

6. Market signals for FC Bologna

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Away draw no bet67.2%91.7%12Success above the average probability
Double chance X266.9%86.4%22Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1271.6%85.2%27Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score53.0%60.0%15Recurring signal
Under 2.557.8%59.1%22Recurring signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Bologna
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Bologna
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, FC Bologna mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

FC Bologna is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.23.

The next detected match is FC Bologna vs Udinese Calcio on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 46%.

AI verdictStrong predictive reliability

Correct and above: 66.7% success across 15 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

9. FC Bologna FAQ

What is the next match for FC Bologna on Foresportia?

This page shows FC Bologna's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read FC Bologna's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for FC Bologna's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Bologna?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Bologna, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

FC Bologna: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, FC Bologna mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

FC Bologna is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.23.

The next detected match is FC Bologna vs Udinese Calcio on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 46%.