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Atalanta BC

ItalySerie A2026-2027

Foresportia analyses Atalanta BC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1591Serie A rank : 13th
1X2 entropy
1.46Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.10Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
1.00Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
56.8%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Atalanta BC

Atalanta BC are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 9 goals scored and 12 conceded across the last five recorded matches in Serie A. The team have taken 5 points from a possible 15 over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Serie A · 2026-2027 · 10 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
230
441
221
030
103

1. How Foresportia evaluates Atalanta BC

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1591Foresportia EloSerie A rank : 13th
1.461X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.10Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
1.00Recent formpoints / match
56.8%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Serie A

Atalanta BCElo : 1534
VS
Inter MilanElo : 1766
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
25%26%49%
Atalanta BC 25%Draw 26%Inter Milan 49%
Main signalAway win · 49%
Model confidence45.8%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Atalanta BC

Data updated on 14 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
71.4%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample2
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample6
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample7
2024-12Risk60.0%10
2025-01Risk57.1%14
2025-02Risk53.3%15
2025-03Risk55.6%18
2025-04Risk57.1%21
2025-05Risk59.1%22
2025-08Risk56.5%23
2025-09Risk54.2%24
2025-10Risk48.1%27
2025-11Risk48.3%29
2025-12Risk48.3%29
2026-01Risk51.5%33
2026-02Risk52.8%36
2026-03Risk51.4%37
2026-04Risk48.7%39
2026-05Risk47.6%42
2026-08Risk48.8%43
2026-09Risk51.1%45
2026-10Risk51.1%47
2026-11Risk51.1%47
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-02Correct and above90.9%11
2025-03Correct and above83.3%12
2025-04Correct and above76.9%13
2025-05Correct and above75.0%16
2025-08Correct and above70.6%17
2025-09Correct and above73.7%19
2025-10Correct and above70.0%20
2025-11Correct and above68.2%22
2025-12Correct and above69.2%26
2026-01Correct and above70.4%27
2026-02Correct and above71.4%28
2026-03Correct and above67.7%31
2026-04Correct and above66.7%33
2026-05Correct and above64.7%34
2026-08Correct and above65.7%35
2026-09Correct and above63.9%36
2026-10Correct and above62.2%37
2026-11Correct and above61.5%39
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-03Stable and above80.0%10
2025-04Stable and above80.0%10
2025-05Stable and above75.0%12
2025-08Stable and above75.0%12
2025-09Stable and above76.9%13
2025-10Stable and above76.9%13
2025-11Stable and above78.6%14
2025-12Stable and above80.0%15
2026-01Stable and above81.2%16
2026-02Stable and above82.4%17
2026-03Stable and above78.9%19
2026-04Stable and above78.9%19
2026-05Stable and above75.0%20
2026-08Stable and above75.0%20
2026-09Stable and above75.0%20
2026-10Stable and above75.0%20
2026-11Stable and above71.4%21
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample9

4. Predictive profile for Atalanta BC

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.67 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.67 pts/matchComparable return

5. Statistical markers for Atalanta BC

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.27
Expected goals conceded at home0.95
Expected goals created away1.38
Expected goals conceded away0.77
Goals scored / match (5)1.80
Goals conceded / match (5)2.40

History: 86 verified matches

6. Market signals for Atalanta BC

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X75.3%80.0%25Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1274.5%74.2%31Robust signal
Over 2.555.1%66.7%15Success above the average probability
Both teams to score54.2%61.1%18Recurring signal
Home draw no bet73.3%57.9%19Success below the average probability

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Atalanta BC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Atalanta BC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Atalanta BC mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Atalanta BC shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 1.80 goals per match recently.

The next detected match is Atalanta BC vs Inter Milan on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 49%.

AI verdictStrong predictive reliability

Stable and above: 71.4% success across 21 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Serie ALeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. Atalanta BC FAQ

What is the next match for Atalanta BC on Foresportia?

This page shows Atalanta BC's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Atalanta BC's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Atalanta BC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Atalanta BC?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Atalanta BC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Atalanta BC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Atalanta BC mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Atalanta BC shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 1.80 goals per match recently.

The next detected match is Atalanta BC vs Inter Milan on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 49%.