Serie A · Scheduled

First AI projection for AS Roma vs Atalanta BC

First AI projection for this Serie A fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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AS Roma

Standing#16

Elo rating1654

Form index100%

Last 5 matches
WWWWW

Expected goals1.18

ScheduledVS

Atalanta BC

Standing#1

Elo rating1592

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
DLWDL

Expected goals1.20

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Atalanta BC at 35.4%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 65.7%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (11.69%)
  • BTTSNo · 50.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 54.9%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

AS Roma34.3%
Draw30.3%
Atalanta BC35.4%

Main pickAtalanta BC35.4%

Confidence33.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

AS Roma1.18
Expected total2.38
Atalanta BC1.20
45.1%Over 2.5

Over 45.1% Under 54.9%

49.8%BTTS

Yes 49.8% No 50.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X64.6%
X265.7%
1269.7%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.7%
  2. Likely score 0 - 0 — 11.7%
  3. Likely score 0 - 1 — 10.7%
  4. Likely score 1 - 0 — 10.5%
  5. Likely score 1 - 2 — 8.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

AS Roma 30.6%Atalanta BC 31.3%

Draw no bet

AS Roma 49.2%Atalanta BC 50.8%

Win to nil

AS Roma 19%Atalanta BC 19.6%

Win by 2+ goals

AS Roma 13.6%Atalanta BC 14.3%

AS Roma vs Atalanta BC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about AS Roma vs Atalanta BC?

The early estimate gives Atalanta BC a slight edge at 35.4%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (11.69%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Serie A

What the data says about AS Roma vs Atalanta BC

This Serie A fixture places added weight on tactical balance, defensive control and the precision needed to decide a tight match.

Before kick-off, AS Roma sits 16th and Atalanta BC 1st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1654 for AS Roma and 1592 for Atalanta BC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 100% for AS Roma and 33.3% for Atalanta BC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives AS Roma 34.3%, the draw 30.3% and Atalanta BC 35.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.18 xG against 1.20, for a combined 2.38.