Serie A · Scheduled

First AI projection for AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina

First AI projection for this Serie A fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina and today's matchesAll Serie A predictions
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AS Roma

Standing#16

Elo rating1654

Form index100%

Last 5 matches
WWWWW

Expected goals1.34

ScheduledVS

ACF Fiorentina

Standing#5

Elo rating1542

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
DWDLD

Expected goals0.97

Match context to watch
Ranking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for AS Roma at 43.7%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 74.1%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (12.65%)
  • BTTSNo · 51.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 56.3%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

AS Roma43.7%
Draw30.4%
ACF Fiorentina25.9%

Main pickAS Roma43.7%

Confidence61%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

AS Roma1.34
Expected total2.32
ACF Fiorentina0.97
43.7%Over 2.5

Over 43.7% Under 56.3%

48.6%BTTS

Yes 48.6% No 51.4%

Double chance

Available markets

1X74.1%
X256.3%
1269.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 0 — 12.7%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.2%
  3. Likely score 0 - 0 — 11.8%
  4. Likely score 2 - 1 — 10.4%
  5. Likely score 0 - 1 — 8.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

AS Roma 37.2%ACF Fiorentina 26.1%

Draw no bet

AS Roma 62.8%ACF Fiorentina 37.2%

Win to nil

AS Roma 25.3%ACF Fiorentina 14.3%

Win by 2+ goals

AS Roma 19.6%ACF Fiorentina 8.4%

AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina?

The early estimate gives AS Roma a slight edge at 43.7%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 0 (12.65%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Serie A

What the data says about AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina

This Serie A fixture places added weight on tactical balance, defensive control and the precision needed to decide a tight match.

Before kick-off, AS Roma sits 16th and ACF Fiorentina 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1654 for AS Roma and 1542 for ACF Fiorentina.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 100% for AS Roma and 40% for ACF Fiorentina. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives AS Roma 43.7%, the draw 30.4% and ACF Fiorentina 25.9%. The expected-goals model projects 1.34 xG against 0.97, for a combined 2.32.