Logo ACF Fiorentina

ACF Fiorentina

ItalySerie A2026-2027

Foresportia analyses ACF Fiorentina using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1505Serie A rank : 15th
1X2 entropy
1.50Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.10Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
1.00Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
52.6%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: ACF Fiorentina

ACF Fiorentina are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 10 goals scored and 11 conceded across the last five recorded matches in Serie A. The team have taken 5 points from a possible 15 over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Serie A · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
130
120
221
423
221

1. How Foresportia evaluates ACF Fiorentina

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1505Foresportia EloSerie A rank : 15th
1.501X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.10Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
1.00Recent formpoints / match
52.6%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Serie A

AC MonzaElo : 1479
VS
ACF FiorentinaElo : 1501
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
24%27%48%
AC Monza 24%Draw 27%ACF Fiorentina 48%
Main signalAway win · 48%
Model confidence51.5%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for ACF Fiorentina

Data updated on 14 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample0
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample4
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample7
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample8
2024-12Risk45.5%11
2025-01Risk42.9%14
2025-02Risk47.4%19
2025-03Risk45.5%22
2025-04Risk45.8%24
2025-05Risk50.0%28
2025-08Risk50.0%30
2025-09Risk50.0%32
2025-10Risk51.4%35
2025-11Risk50.0%38
2025-12Risk50.0%42
2026-01Risk47.9%48
2026-02Risk47.1%51
2026-03Risk45.3%53
2026-04Risk43.9%57
2026-05Risk43.3%60
2026-08Risk44.3%61
2026-09Risk42.9%63
2026-10Risk42.4%66
2026-11Risk42.6%68
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-04Correct and above60.0%10
2025-05Correct and above60.0%10
2025-08Correct and above60.0%10
2025-09Correct and above63.6%11
2025-10Correct and above66.7%12
2025-11Correct and above69.2%13
2025-12Correct and above69.2%13
2026-01Correct and above69.2%13
2026-02Correct and above69.2%13
2026-03Correct and above66.7%15
2026-04Correct and above66.7%15
2026-05Correct and above62.5%16
2026-08Correct and above62.5%16
2026-09Correct and above62.5%16
2026-10Correct and above64.7%17
2026-11Correct and above64.7%17
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample4

4. Predictive profile for ACF Fiorentina

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.49 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.17 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for ACF Fiorentina

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.03
Expected goals conceded at home0.97
Expected goals created away1.09
Expected goals conceded away1.05
Goals scored / match (5)2.00
Goals conceded / match (5)2.20

History: 85 verified matches

6. Market signals for ACF Fiorentina

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X267.7%69.6%23Confirmed signal
Double chance 1X68.1%68.2%22Confirmed signal
Double chance 1272.3%63.0%27Success below the average probability
Both teams to score54.2%60.0%15Recurring signal
Over 2.555.7%66.7%6Promising signal, limited sample

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
ACF Fiorentina
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
ACF Fiorentina
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, ACF Fiorentina mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

ACF Fiorentina shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.00 goals per match recently.

The next detected match is AC Monza vs ACF Fiorentina on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 48%.

AI verdictModerate predictive reliability

Correct and above: 64.7% success across 17 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Serie ALeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. ACF Fiorentina FAQ

What is the next match for ACF Fiorentina on Foresportia?

This page shows ACF Fiorentina's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read ACF Fiorentina's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for ACF Fiorentina's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for ACF Fiorentina?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for ACF Fiorentina, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

ACF Fiorentina: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, ACF Fiorentina mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

ACF Fiorentina shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.00 goals per match recently.

The next detected match is AC Monza vs ACF Fiorentina on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 48%.