Liga Portugal · Matchday 4 · Season 2026/27 · ScheduledLisbon

Prediction for SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia

SL BenficaView team →WDWDD
1X2 PREDICTION BALANCE
73.4%SL Benfica
17.9%Draw
8.7%GD Estoril Praia
GD Estoril PraiaView team →LLDLD
VERDICTClear edge for SL Benfica

Foresportia's analysis estimates that SL Benfica has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give SL Benfica a clear edge in the 1X2 reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 91.3%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.

1X2 STABILITYUltra stable
Model confidence 94.9%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 91.3%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.

Why the model sees it this way

Relative strengthAdvantage SL Benfica
Recent formAdvantage SL Benfica
Goal profileRather open
Signal stabilityVery high
Model confidenceVery high

Probabilities & verdict

SL Benfica73.4%
Draw17.9%
GD Estoril Praia8.7%

Main pickSL Benfica

1X2 STABILITYUltra stable

Model confidence94.9%

1X2 alternatives

MarketPickProbabilityReading
Double chance1X91.3%Most robust signal
Draw no betSL Benfica89.4%Solid
Total goalsOver 2.564.2%Interesting
Both teams to scoreYes52.1%Neutral
Total goalsOver 1.582.2%Solid
View all markets →

How the match could unfold

Expected goals (xG)2.38SL Benfica

Expected goals (xG)0.75GD Estoril Praia

Under 2.5 probability35.8%

BTTS No probability47.9%

Top 5 likely scores
2 - 112.4%3 - 010.3%1 - 09.9%2 - 09.6%3 - 18.8%

Advanced scenarios

SL BenficaGD Estoril Praia
44.4%
Clean sheet
8.8%
39.1%
Win to nil
3.5%
49.2%
Win by 2 goals or more
1.8%
Learn more about our scenarios →

Team comparison

7thCurrent position15th
1751Elo1452
WDWDDForm (last 5)LLDLD
3.2Goals scored / match (5)0.6
1.4Goals conceded / match (5)1.8
20.0Clean sheets (5)0.0
View the detailed comparison ›

Prediction reliability

Ultra stable profile

The signal belongs to the historically most stable profile, while remaining probabilistic.

HISTORICAL PERFORMANCEUltra stable profile
89.2%

89.2% correct predictions
over 111 verified matches

Learn more about our methodology →
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE100%90%80%02244678911189.2%Number of matches

Quick FAQ

What is the prediction for SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia?

The Foresportia model gives SL Benfica a clear edge at 73.4%. This estimate does not guarantee the final result.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (12.45%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 52.1% and BTTS No at 47.9%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 91.3%, without being certain.

Explore more on Foresportia

Follow SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia and today's matchesScores, kick-off times and fixtures updated periodically on direct.html.All Liga Portugal predictionsExplore more Liga Portugal fixtures and AI analysis.Liga Portugal standingsSee where SL Benfica and GD Estoril Praia sit in the current table.Compare SL Benfica and GD Estoril Praia formReview both teams' recent momentum and match sequences.Liga Portugal results and fixturesBrowse previous scores and upcoming matches from the competition.Other matches on August 31, 2026Browse the matches and predictions available on this date.Compare with the top AI predictionsPlace this fixture alongside the strongest current model signals.SL Benfica and GD Estoril Praia team pagesOpen team profiles, statistics and upcoming fixtures.

Our commitment

◇ Predictions archived before kick-off

◇ No invented data

What the data says about SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia

This Liga Portugal fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, SL Benfica sits 7th and GD Estoril Praia 15th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1751 for SL Benfica and 1452 for GD Estoril Praia.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for SL Benfica and 13.3% for GD Estoril Praia. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives SL Benfica 73.4%, the draw 17.9% and GD Estoril Praia 8.7%. The expected-goals model projects 2.38 xG against 0.75, for a combined 3.13. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 12.4%.