Relative strengthAdvantage SC Braga
Prediction for CF Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga
CF Estrela AmadoraView team →DWDDD16.9%CF Estrela Amadora
25.1%Draw
58.1%SC Braga
SC BragaView team →WWDDDVERDICTModerate edge for SC Braga
Foresportia's analysis estimates that SC Braga has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give SC Braga a moderate edge in the 1X2 reading. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 83.1%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 54.1%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 83.1%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formSlight edge for SC Braga
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
CF Estrela Amadora16.9%Draw25.1%
SC Braga58.1%Main pickSC Braga
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence54.1%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | X2 | 83.1% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | SC Braga | 77.5% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 57.5% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 76.8% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)0.93CF Estrela Amadora
Total xG2.82
Expected goals (xG)1.89SC Braga
Under 2.5 probability42.5%
BTTS No probability44.8%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 212.9%0 - 110.7%1 - 19.8%0 - 27.9%0 - 07.7%
Advanced scenarios
CF Estrela AmadoraSC Braga15%
Clean sheet37.5%
7.3%
Win to nil29.9%
4.6%
Win by 2 goals or more33.2%
Team comparison
8thCurrent position9th
1489Elo1661
DWDDDForm (last 5)WWDDD
2.2Goals scored / match (5)1.8
2.0Goals conceded / match (5)1.4
0.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
43.1%
43.1% correct predictions
over 385 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for CF Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga?
The Foresportia model gives SC Braga a moderate edge at 58.1%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (12.94%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 55.2% and BTTS No at 44.8%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 83.1%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about CF Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga
This Liga Portugal fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, CF Estrela Amadora sits 8th and SC Braga 9th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1489 for CF Estrela Amadora and 1661 for SC Braga.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for CF Estrela Amadora and 60% for SC Braga. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives CF Estrela Amadora 16.9%, the draw 25.1% and SC Braga 58.1%. The expected-goals model projects 0.93 xG against 1.89, for a combined 2.82. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–2 at 12.9%.