Premier League · Scheduled

First AI projection for Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United

First AI projection for this Premier League fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Tottenham Hotspur

Standing#11

Elo rating1462

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WLDWW

Expected goals1.46

ScheduledVS

Newcastle United

Standing#9

Elo rating1532

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LWDWL

Expected goals1.38

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Tottenham Hotspur at 38%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 65.7%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (10.56%)
  • BTTSYes · 59.8%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56.4%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Tottenham Hotspur38%
Draw27.7%
Newcastle United34.3%

Main pickTottenham Hotspur38%

Confidence35.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Tottenham Hotspur1.46
Expected total2.84
Newcastle United1.38
56.4%Over 2.5

Over 56.4% Under 43.6%

59.8%BTTS

Yes 59.8% No 40.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X65.7%
X262%
1272.3%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 10.6%
  2. Likely score 2 - 1 — 10%
  3. Likely score 1 - 2 — 9.4%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 8.8%
  5. Likely score 1 - 0 — 8.3%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Tottenham Hotspur 25.4%Newcastle United 23.6%

Draw no bet

Tottenham Hotspur 52.5%Newcastle United 47.5%

Win to nil

Tottenham Hotspur 16.6%Newcastle United 14.8%

Win by 2+ goals

Tottenham Hotspur 16.6%Newcastle United 14.2%

Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United?

The early estimate gives Tottenham Hotspur a slight edge at 38%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (10.56%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Premier League

What the data says about Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United

This Premier League fixture belongs to a high-tempo competition where squad depth, current form and efficiency in both boxes carry significant weight.

Before kick-off, Tottenham Hotspur sits 11th and Newcastle United 9th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1462 for Tottenham Hotspur and 1532 for Newcastle United.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Tottenham Hotspur and 46.7% for Newcastle United. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Tottenham Hotspur 38%, the draw 27.7% and Newcastle United 34.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.46 xG against 1.38, for a combined 2.84.