MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for Toronto FC vs New York City FC

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow Toronto FC vs New York City FC and today's matchesAll MLS predictions
Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Toronto FC

Standing#27

Elo rating1462

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
WDLDD

Expected goals1.12

ScheduledVS

New York City FC

Standing#12

Elo rating1536

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
DWWLD

Expected goals1.54

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for New York City FC at 44.2%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 75.7%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (14.05%)
  • BTTSYes · 60.8%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55.9%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Toronto FC24.3%
Draw31.4%
New York City FC44.2%

Main pickNew York City FC44.2%

Confidence53.7%

StabilityRisk

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Expected goals and trends

Toronto FC1.12
Expected total2.67
New York City FC1.54
55.9%Over 2.5

Over 55.9% Under 44.1%

60.8%BTTS

Yes 60.8% No 39.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X55.8%
X275.7%
1268.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 2 — 14.1%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.9%
  3. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.5%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 9.4%
  5. Likely score 0 - 1 — 9.3%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Toronto FC 19.5%New York City FC 29.2%

Draw no bet

Toronto FC 35.5%New York City FC 64.5%

Win to nil

Toronto FC 10.1%New York City FC 19.8%

Win by 2+ goals

Toronto FC 7.7%New York City FC 20.2%

Toronto FC vs New York City FC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Toronto FC vs New York City FC?

The early estimate gives New York City FC a slight edge at 44.2%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (14.05%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

MLS

What the data says about Toronto FC vs New York City FC

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Toronto FC sits 27th and New York City FC 12th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1462 for Toronto FC and 1536 for New York City FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Toronto FC and 53.3% for New York City FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Toronto FC 24.3%, the draw 31.4% and New York City FC 44.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.12 xG against 1.54, for a combined 2.67.