MLS · Scheduled

Prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC

MLS AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Follow Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC and today's matchesAll MLS predictions
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Sporting Kansas City

Standing#29

Elo rating1370

Form index20%

Last 5 matches
LLLWL

Expected goals1.38

ScheduledVS

St. Louis CITY SC

Standing#15

Elo rating1523

Form index86.7%

Last 5 matches
WDWWW

Expected goals1.56

Match context to watch
I-70 derbyLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for St. Louis CITY SC at 39.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 67.9%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (12.12%)
  • BTTSYes · 63.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 62%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Sporting Kansas City32.1%
Draw28.1%
St. Louis CITY SC39.8%

Main pickSt. Louis CITY SC39.8%

Confidence32.8%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Sporting Kansas City1.38
Expected total2.94
St. Louis CITY SC1.56
62%Over 2.5

Over 62% Under 38%

63.4%BTTS

Yes 63.4% No 36.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X60.2%
X267.9%
1271.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 2 — 12.1%
  2. Likely score 2 - 1 — 10.6%
  3. Likely score 1 - 1 — 9.5%
  4. Likely score 0 - 1 — 7.4%
  5. Likely score 0 - 0 — 7.3%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Sporting Kansas City 20.1%St. Louis CITY SC 23.8%

Draw no bet

Sporting Kansas City 44.6%St. Louis CITY SC 55.4%

Win to nil

Sporting Kansas City 12.8%St. Louis CITY SC 16.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Sporting Kansas City 13.1%St. Louis CITY SC 18.4%

Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC?

The model sees an open match and gives St. Louis CITY SC a slight edge at 39.8%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (12.12%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 63.4% and BTTS No at 36.6%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 67.9%, without being certain.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

MLS

What the data says about Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Sporting Kansas City sits 29th and St. Louis CITY SC 15th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1370 for Sporting Kansas City and 1523 for St. Louis CITY SC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 20% for Sporting Kansas City and 86.7% for St. Louis CITY SC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Sporting Kansas City 32.1%, the draw 28.1% and St. Louis CITY SC 39.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.38 xG against 1.56, for a combined 2.94.