MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for Red Bull New York vs Philadelphia Union

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow Red Bull New York vs Philadelphia Union and today's matchesAll MLS predictions
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Red Bull New York

Standing#18

Elo rating1443

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
LWLLW

Expected goals1.35

ScheduledVS

Philadelphia Union

Standing#28

Elo rating1489

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WWWLD

Expected goals1.47

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Philadelphia Union at 37.5%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 67.8%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (12.08%)
  • BTTSYes · 62.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 59.6%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Red Bull New York32.2%
Draw30.3%
Philadelphia Union37.5%

Main pickPhiladelphia Union37.5%

Confidence35.7%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Red Bull New York1.35
Expected total2.82
Philadelphia Union1.47
59.6%Over 2.5

Over 59.6% Under 40.4%

62.1%BTTS

Yes 62.1% No 37.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X62.5%
X267.8%
1269.7%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 2 — 12.1%
  2. Likely score 2 - 1 — 11%
  3. Likely score 1 - 1 — 10.2%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 8.2%
  5. Likely score 0 - 1 — 7.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Red Bull New York 21.8%Philadelphia Union 24.3%

Draw no bet

Red Bull New York 46.3%Philadelphia Union 53.7%

Win to nil

Red Bull New York 13.6%Philadelphia Union 16.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Red Bull New York 13.1%Philadelphia Union 16.7%

Red Bull New York vs Philadelphia Union early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Red Bull New York vs Philadelphia Union?

The early estimate gives Philadelphia Union a slight edge at 37.5%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (12.08%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

MLS

What the data says about Red Bull New York vs Philadelphia Union

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Red Bull New York sits 18th and Philadelphia Union 28th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1443 for Red Bull New York and 1489 for Philadelphia Union.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Red Bull New York and 66.7% for Philadelphia Union. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Red Bull New York 32.2%, the draw 30.3% and Philadelphia Union 37.5%. The expected-goals model projects 1.35 xG against 1.47, for a combined 2.82.