New York City FC
Standing#13
Elo rating1536
Form index53.3%
Expected goals1.47
Philadelphia Union
Standing#28
Elo rating1489
Form index66.7%
Expected goals1.32
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for New York City FC at 37.9%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 68.9%
- Likely score2 - 1 (12.55%)
- BTTSYes · 62.5%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 58.7%
1X2 probabilities
AI prediction updated with the latest available data.
Main pickNew York City FC37.9%
Confidence48.9%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 58.7% Under 41.3%
Yes 62.5% No 37.5%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 12.6%
- Likely score 1 - 2 — 11.1%
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 10.8%
- Likely score 0 - 0 — 8.5%
- Likely score 1 - 0 — 7.9%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union prediction FAQ
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
The model sees an open match and gives New York City FC a slight edge at 37.9%; caution is appropriate.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (12.55%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 62.5% and BTTS No at 37.5%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 68.9%, without being certain.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
MLS
What the data says about New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union
This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.
Before kick-off, New York City FC sits 13th and Philadelphia Union 28th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1536 for New York City FC and 1489 for Philadelphia Union.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for New York City FC and 66.7% for Philadelphia Union. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives New York City FC 37.9%, the draw 31% and Philadelphia Union 31.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.47 xG against 1.32, for a combined 2.78.