MLS · Scheduled

Prediction for Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union

MLS AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Follow Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union and today's matchesAll MLS predictions
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Austin FC

Standing#16

Elo rating1430

Form index20%

Last 5 matches
LLWLL

Expected goals1.28

ScheduledVS

Philadelphia Union

Standing#28

Elo rating1489

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WWWLD

Expected goals1.51

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Philadelphia Union at 40.1%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 70.6%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (12.94%)
  • BTTSYes · 62.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 58.9%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Austin FC29.4%
Draw30.5%
Philadelphia Union40.1%

Main pickPhiladelphia Union40.1%

Confidence52.3%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Austin FC1.28
Expected total2.79
Philadelphia Union1.51
58.9%Over 2.5

Over 58.9% Under 41.1%

62.5%BTTS

Yes 62.5% No 37.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X59.9%
X270.6%
1269.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 2 — 12.9%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 10.8%
  3. Likely score 2 - 1 — 10.6%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 8.4%
  5. Likely score 0 - 1 — 8.1%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Austin FC 20.4%Philadelphia Union 25.6%

Draw no bet

Austin FC 42.3%Philadelphia Union 57.7%

Win to nil

Austin FC 12%Philadelphia Union 17.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Austin FC 11%Philadelphia Union 18.1%

Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union?

The model sees an open match and gives Philadelphia Union a slight edge at 40.1%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (12.94%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 62.5% and BTTS No at 37.5%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 70.6%, without being certain.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

MLS

What the data says about Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Austin FC sits 16th and Philadelphia Union 28th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1430 for Austin FC and 1489 for Philadelphia Union.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 20% for Austin FC and 66.7% for Philadelphia Union. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Austin FC 29.4%, the draw 30.5% and Philadelphia Union 40.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.28 xG against 1.51, for a combined 2.79.