Bundesliga · Scheduled

First AI projection for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FC Union Berlin

First AI projection for this Bundesliga fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Standing#6

Elo rating1594

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
DLWWL

Expected goals1.86

ScheduledVS

1.FC Union Berlin

Standing#11

Elo rating1466

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WWDLL

Expected goals0.93

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 58.4%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelCorrect
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 85%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (15.54%)
  • BTTSYes · 60.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 58%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen58.4%
Draw26.6%
1.FC Union Berlin15%

Main pickBayer 04 Leverkusen58.4%

Confidence81.7%

StabilityCorrect

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Expected goals and trends

Bayer 04 Leverkusen1.86
Expected total2.79
1.FC Union Berlin0.93
58%Over 2.5

Over 58% Under 42%

60.1%BTTS

Yes 60.1% No 39.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X85%
X241.6%
1273.4%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 115.5%
  2. Likely score 1 - 111.8%
  3. Likely score 1 - 010.1%
  4. Likely score 0 - 08%
  5. Likely score 3 - 18%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34.3%1.FC Union Berlin 13.7%

Draw no bet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 79.6%1.FC Union Berlin 20.4%

Win to nil

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 26.2%1.FC Union Berlin 5.6%

Win by 2+ goals

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 31.1%1.FC Union Berlin 3.4%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FC Union Berlin early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FC Union Berlin?

The early estimate gives Bayer 04 Leverkusen a slight edge at 58.4%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (15.54%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Bundesliga

What the data says about Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FC Union Berlin

This Bundesliga fixture sits in a competition often shaped by tempo, attacking volume, transitions and current momentum.

Before kick-off, Bayer 04 Leverkusen sits 6th and 1.FC Union Berlin 11th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1594 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1466 for 1.FC Union Berlin.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 46.7% for 1.FC Union Berlin. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Bayer 04 Leverkusen 58.4%, the draw 26.6% and 1.FC Union Berlin 15%. The expected-goals model projects 1.86 xG against 0.93, for a combined 2.79.