
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Standing#6
Elo rating1594
Form index46.7%
Expected goals1.86

1.FC Union Berlin
Standing#11
Elo rating1466
Form index46.7%
Expected goals0.93
Quick read
- Main predictionEdge for Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 58.4%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
- Confidence levelCorrect
- Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 85%
- Likely score2 - 1 (15.54%)
- BTTSYes · 60.1%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 58%
First AI projection
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
Main pickBayer 04 Leverkusen58.4%
Confidence81.7%
StabilityCorrect
Expected goals and trends
Over 58% Under 42%
Yes 60.1% No 39.9%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 15.5%
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.8%
- Likely score 1 - 0 — 10.1%
- Likely score 0 - 0 — 8%
- Likely score 3 - 1 — 8%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FC Union Berlin early projection FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FC Union Berlin?
The early estimate gives Bayer 04 Leverkusen a slight edge at 58.4%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (15.54%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
More football tools and analysis
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Bundesliga
What the data says about Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FC Union Berlin
This Bundesliga fixture sits in a competition often shaped by tempo, attacking volume, transitions and current momentum.
Before kick-off, Bayer 04 Leverkusen sits 6th and 1.FC Union Berlin 11th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1594 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1466 for 1.FC Union Berlin.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 46.7% for 1.FC Union Berlin. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Bayer 04 Leverkusen 58.4%, the draw 26.6% and 1.FC Union Berlin 15%. The expected-goals model projects 1.86 xG against 0.93, for a combined 2.79.