Foresportia Elo
1619Bundesliga rank : 5th
Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen
Foresportia analyses Bayer Leverkusen using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.42Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
63.9%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen have taken 7 points from three matches in Bundesliga. The team have scored 8 goals and conceded 2. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.
Bundesliga · 2026-2027 · 3 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Bayer Leverkusen
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
1.FSV Mainz 05Elo : Not available
Bayer 04 LeverkusenElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for Bayer Leverkusen
Data updated on 22 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
73.3%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 66.7% | 12 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 57.1% | 14 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 62.5% | 16 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 55.6% | 18 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 47.6% | 21 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 47.8% | 23 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 50.0% | 24 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 24 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 48.0% | 25 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 46.2% | 26 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 44.8% | 29 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 41.9% | 31 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 41.2% | 34 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 41.7% | 36 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 42.1% | 38 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 42.5% | 40 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 77.8% | 18 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 81.0% | 21 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 78.3% | 23 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 79.2% | 24 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 26 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 74.1% | 27 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 72.4% | 29 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 70.0% | 30 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 71.0% | 31 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 78.6% | 14 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
4. Predictive profile for Bayer Leverkusen
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.97 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.83 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for Bayer Leverkusen
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 71 verified matches
6. Market signals for Bayer Leverkusen
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X72.9%82.4%17Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score57.9%72.7%11Success above the average probability
Double chance X275.2%68.8%16Confirmed signal
Under 2.565.6%66.7%12Confirmed signal
Over 2.557.1%66.7%12Success above the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Bayer Leverkusen
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Bayer Leverkusen
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Bayer Leverkusen
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Bayer Leverkusen
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Bayer Leverkusen mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Bayer Leverkusen shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.00 goals per match recently.
The next confirmed match is 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictStrong predictive reliability
Stable and above: 73.3% success across 15 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Bayer Leverkusen FAQ
What is the next match for Bayer Leverkusen on Foresportia?
This page shows Bayer Leverkusen's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read Bayer Leverkusen's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Bayer Leverkusen's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Bayer Leverkusen?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Bayer Leverkusen, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Bayer Leverkusen: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Bayer Leverkusen mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Bayer Leverkusen shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.00 goals per match recently.
The next confirmed match is 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.