Foresportia Elo
1662Bundesliga rank : 6th
Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen
Foresportia analyses Bayer Leverkusen using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.47Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.47Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
57.4%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 10 goals scored and 12 conceded across the last five recorded matches in Bundesliga. The team have taken 9 points from a possible 15 over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Bundesliga · 2026-2027 · 8 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Bayer Leverkusen
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Bayer 04 LeverkusenElo : 1585
SC Paderborn 07Elo : 1532
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 50%Draw 29%SC Paderborn 07 20%
3. Prediction reliability for Bayer Leverkusen
Data updated on 14 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
73.3%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 66.7% | 12 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 57.1% | 14 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 62.5% | 16 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 55.6% | 18 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 47.6% | 21 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 47.8% | 23 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 50.0% | 24 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 24 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 48.0% | 25 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 46.2% | 26 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 44.8% | 29 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 41.9% | 31 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 41.2% | 34 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 41.7% | 36 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 42.1% | 38 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 42.5% | 40 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 41.9% | 43 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 43.2% | 44 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 77.8% | 18 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 81.0% | 21 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 78.3% | 23 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 79.2% | 24 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 26 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 74.1% | 27 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 72.4% | 29 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 70.0% | 30 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 71.0% | 31 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 71.9% | 32 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | 71.9% | 32 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 78.6% | 14 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
4. Predictive profile for Bayer Leverkusen
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.95 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.84 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for Bayer Leverkusen
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 76 verified matches
6. Market signals for Bayer Leverkusen
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Over 2.559.2%76.5%17Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score59.2%75.0%16Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X71.6%71.4%21Robust signal
Double chance 1273.9%69.0%29Confirmed signal
Double chance X275.3%68.4%19Confirmed signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Bayer Leverkusen
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Bayer Leverkusen
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Bayer Leverkusen
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Bayer Leverkusen
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Bayer Leverkusen mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Bayer Leverkusen shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.00 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.
AI verdictStrong predictive reliability
Stable and above: 73.3% success across 15 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Bayer Leverkusen FAQ
What is the next match for Bayer Leverkusen on Foresportia?
This page shows Bayer Leverkusen's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Bayer Leverkusen's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Bayer Leverkusen's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Bayer Leverkusen?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Bayer Leverkusen, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Bayer Leverkusen: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Bayer Leverkusen mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Bayer Leverkusen shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.00 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.