Foresportia Elo
1468Bundesliga rank : 16th
1.FC Union Berlin
Foresportia analyses 1.FC Union Berlin using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.47Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.49Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
54.1%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: 1.FC Union Berlin
1.FC Union Berlin are going through a difficult run, taking 3 points from the last five recorded matches in Bundesliga. The team are struggling to score and their defense needs attention: 2 goals scored and 11 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Bundesliga · 2026-2027 · 7 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates 1.FC Union Berlin
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
1.FC Union BerlinElo : 1437
RB LeipzigElo : 1631
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
1.FC Union Berlin 24%Draw 29%RB Leipzig 47%
3. Prediction reliability for 1.FC Union Berlin
Data updated on 14 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 60.0% | 10 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 58.3% | 12 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 56.2% | 16 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 57.9% | 19 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 52.2% | 23 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 44.4% | 27 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 43.3% | 30 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 45.2% | 31 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 45.5% | 33 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 45.7% | 35 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 44.7% | 38 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 46.3% | 41 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 46.7% | 45 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 46.9% | 49 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 45.1% | 51 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 42.6% | 54 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 40.4% | 57 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 39.7% | 58 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 39.7% | 58 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 38.3% | 60 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 38.7% | 62 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
4. Predictive profile for 1.FC Union Berlin
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.27 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.97 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for 1.FC Union Berlin
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 75 verified matches
6. Market signals for 1.FC Union Berlin
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X74.7%77.3%22Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1271.6%70.8%24Robust signal
Home win61.3%75.0%8Promising signal, limited sample
Double chance X264.9%62.5%16Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
1.FC Union Berlin
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
1.FC Union Berlin
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
1.FC Union Berlin
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
1.FC Union Berlin
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, 1.FC Union Berlin still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
1.FC Union Berlin still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is 1.FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 47%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 76.9% success across 13 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. 1.FC Union Berlin FAQ
What is the next match for 1.FC Union Berlin on Foresportia?
This page shows 1.FC Union Berlin's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read 1.FC Union Berlin's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for 1.FC Union Berlin's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for 1.FC Union Berlin?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for 1.FC Union Berlin, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
1.FC Union Berlin: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, 1.FC Union Berlin still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
1.FC Union Berlin still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is 1.FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 47%.