Foresportia Elo
1512MLS rank : 14th
Toronto FC
Foresportia analyses Toronto FC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.53Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
54.1%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates Toronto FC
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Toronto FCElo : 1511
Nashville SCElo : 1655
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Toronto FC 23%Draw 32%Nashville SC 45%
3. Prediction reliability for Toronto FC
Data updated on 06 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 10 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 60.0% | 15 |
| 2025-06 | Risk | 55.6% | 18 |
| 2025-07 | Risk | 60.9% | 23 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 51.9% | 27 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 46.7% | 30 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 45.5% | 33 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 47.1% | 34 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 43.2% | 37 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 38.1% | 42 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 41.3% | 46 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 40.8% | 49 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 37.7% | 53 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 37.0% | 54 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for Toronto FC
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.10 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.93 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Toronto FC
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 57 verified matches
6. Market signals for Toronto FC
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Both teams to scoreNot available%90.0%20Major, well-documented signal
Over 2.5Not available%60.0%15Success above the average probability
Double chance 1XNot available%83.3%24Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X2Not available%61.9%21Success above the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Toronto FC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Toronto FC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Toronto FC
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Toronto FC
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Toronto FC mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Toronto FC shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.40 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Toronto FC vs Nashville SC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 45%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Toronto FC FAQ
What is the next match for Toronto FC on Foresportia?
This page shows Toronto FC's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Toronto FC's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Toronto FC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Toronto FC?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Toronto FC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Toronto FC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Toronto FC mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Toronto FC shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.40 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Toronto FC vs Nashville SC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 45%.