Foresportia Elo
1490MLS rank : 14th
Toronto FC
Foresportia analyses Toronto FC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.51Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.36Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
52.7%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Toronto FC
The defense of Toronto FC needs attention: 9 goals conceded across the last five recorded matches in MLS. The team have scored 8 goals over these matches. The team have taken 7 points from a possible 15 over these matches.
MLS · 2026 · 30 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Toronto FC
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Columbus CrewElo : 1526
Toronto FCElo : 1532
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Columbus Crew 55%Draw 27%Toronto FC 18%
3. Prediction reliability for Toronto FC
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 10 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 60.0% | 15 |
| 2025-06 | Risk | 55.6% | 18 |
| 2025-07 | Risk | 60.9% | 23 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 51.9% | 27 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 46.7% | 30 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 45.5% | 33 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 47.1% | 34 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 43.2% | 37 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 38.1% | 42 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 41.3% | 46 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 40.8% | 49 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 37.7% | 53 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 39.7% | 58 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 39.3% | 61 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for Toronto FC
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.21 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.90 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Toronto FC
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 64 verified matches
6. Market signals for Toronto FC
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Both teams to scoreNot available%81.5%27Major, well-documented signal
Over 2.5Not available%63.6%22Success above the average probability
Double chance 1XNot available%83.9%31Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X2Not available%55.6%27Success above the average probability
Double chance 12Not available%61.3%31Success above the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Toronto FC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Toronto FC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Toronto FC
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Toronto FC
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Toronto FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Toronto FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 55%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Toronto FC FAQ
What is the next match for Toronto FC on Foresportia?
This page shows Toronto FC's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Toronto FC's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Toronto FC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Toronto FC?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Toronto FC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Toronto FC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Toronto FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Toronto FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 55%.