Relative strengthSlight edge for FC Sion
Prediction for FC Bâle 1893 vs FC Sion
FC Bâle 1893View team →DWWLW43.6%FC Bâle 1893
29.2%Draw
27.2%FC Sion
FC SionView team →LWWLDVERDICTFC Bâle 1893 slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that FC Bâle 1893 has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give FC Bâle 1893 a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 72.8%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 45.4%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 72.8%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage FC Bâle 1893
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
FC Bâle 189343.6%Draw29.2%
FC Sion27.2%Main pickFC Bâle 1893
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence45.4%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.8% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | FC Bâle 1893 | 61.6% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 58.5% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 76.7% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.58FC Bâle 1893
Total xG2.77
Expected goals (xG)1.19FC Sion
Under 2.5 probability41.5%
BTTS No probability37.8%
Top 5 likely scores
2 - 113.8%1 - 111.1%1 - 29.8%1 - 08.6%0 - 08.6%
Advanced scenarios
FC Bâle 1893FC Sion27.4%
Clean sheet18.9%
18.9%
Win to nil10.3%
20.4%
Win by 2 goals or more8.8%
Team comparison
3rdCurrent position5th
1542Elo1598
DWWLWForm (last 5)LWWLD
2.0Goals scored / match (5)2.4
1.4Goals conceded / match (5)2.2
20.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
41.7%
41.7% correct predictions
over 223 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for FC Bâle 1893 vs FC Sion?
The Foresportia model gives FC Bâle 1893 a slight edge at 43.6%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (13.80%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 62.2% and BTTS No at 37.8%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 72.8%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about FC Bâle 1893 vs FC Sion
This Super League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, FC Bâle 1893 sits 3rd and FC Sion 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1542 for FC Bâle 1893 and 1598 for FC Sion.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for FC Bâle 1893 and 46.7% for FC Sion. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives FC Bâle 1893 43.6%, the draw 29.2% and FC Sion 27.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.58 xG against 1.19, for a combined 2.77. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 13.8%.