Relative strengthAdvantage Como 1907
Prediction for Como 1907 vs Parma Calcio 1913
Como 1907View team →WWDWW61%Como 1907
25.7%Draw
13.3%Parma Calcio 1913
Parma Calcio 1913View team →DLLWLVERDICTModerate edge for Como 1907
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Como 1907 has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Como 1907 a moderate edge in the 1X2 reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 86.7%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYStable The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 61.7%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 86.7%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Como 1907
Goal profileRather low-scoring
Signal stabilityHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Probabilities & verdict
Como 190761%Draw25.7%
Parma Calcio 191313.3%Main pickComo 1907
1X2 STABILITYStable
Model confidence61.7%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86.7% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Como 1907 | 82.1% | Solid |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 54.1% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.1% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 78% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.70Como 1907
Total xG2.40
Expected goals (xG)0.70Parma Calcio 1913
Under 2.5 probability54.1%
BTTS No probability54.1%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 014.7%2 - 112%1 - 111.6%0 - 010.8%2 - 010.5%
Advanced scenarios
Como 1907Parma Calcio 191347.1%
Clean sheet17.8%
36.3%
Win to nil7%
32.4%
Win by 2 goals or more2.8%
Team comparison
4thCurrent position17th
1702Elo1483
WWDWWForm (last 5)DLLWL
2.4Goals scored / match (5)0.4
0.8Goals conceded / match (5)1.0
20.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
The signal belongs to a historically stable profile, without guaranteeing the outcome.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCEStable profile
82.6%
82.6% correct predictions
over 144 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Como 1907 vs Parma Calcio 1913?
The Foresportia model gives Como 1907 a moderate edge at 61%. This estimate does not guarantee the final result.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (14.71%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 45.9% and BTTS No at 54.1%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 86.7%, without being certain.
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Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Como 1907 vs Parma Calcio 1913
This Serie A fixture places added weight on tactical balance, defensive control and the precision needed to decide a tight match.
Before kick-off, Como 1907 sits 4th and Parma Calcio 1913 17th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1702 for Como 1907 and 1483 for Parma Calcio 1913.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 86.7% for Como 1907 and 26.7% for Parma Calcio 1913. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Como 1907 61%, the draw 25.7% and Parma Calcio 1913 13.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.70 xG against 0.70, for a combined 2.40. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–0 at 14.7%.