Foresportia Elo
1456Serie A rank : 15th
Parma Calcio 1913
Foresportia analyses Parma Calcio 1913 using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.41Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
58.6%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Parma Calcio 1913
Parma Calcio 1913 are going through a difficult run, taking 4 points from the last five recorded matches in Serie A. The team have scored 5 goals and conceded 7. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Serie A · 2026-2027 · 10 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Parma Calcio 1913
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Parma Calcio 1913Elo : 1443
AS RomaElo : 1729
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Parma Calcio 1913 12%Draw 24%AS Roma 63%
3. Prediction reliability for Parma Calcio 1913
Data updated on 14 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
66.7%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 10 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 14 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 50.0% | 16 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 45.0% | 20 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 42.9% | 21 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 45.5% | 22 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 45.5% | 22 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 41.7% | 24 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 37.0% | 27 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 41.4% | 29 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 40.0% | 30 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 38.2% | 34 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 35.1% | 37 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 35.0% | 40 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 34.9% | 43 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 35.6% | 45 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 34.8% | 46 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 34.0% | 47 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 34.7% | 49 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 36.0% | 50 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | 60.0% | 10 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 60.0% | 10 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 46.2% | 13 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 43.8% | 16 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 44.4% | 18 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 47.4% | 19 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 50.0% | 20 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 50.0% | 22 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 50.0% | 24 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 53.8% | 26 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 53.6% | 28 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 53.6% | 28 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 51.7% | 29 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 54.8% | 31 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 56.2% | 32 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 57.6% | 33 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 60.0% | 35 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | 58.3% | 36 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | 60.0% | 10 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | 54.5% | 11 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 54.5% | 11 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 61.5% | 13 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 60.0% | 15 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 60.0% | 15 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 60.0% | 15 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 62.5% | 16 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 64.7% | 17 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 66.7% | 18 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 70.0% | 20 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | 66.7% | 21 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | 72.7% | 11 |
4. Predictive profile for Parma Calcio 1913
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.07 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance0.98 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for Parma Calcio 1913
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 86 verified matches
6. Market signals for Parma Calcio 1913
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1272.7%77.8%27Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X268.9%70.6%17Robust signal
Double chance 1X74.6%66.7%24Confirmed signal
Home win63.7%60.0%10Recurring signal
Under 2.559.3%60.0%20Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Parma Calcio 1913
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Parma Calcio 1913
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Parma Calcio 1913
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Parma Calcio 1913
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Parma Calcio 1913 still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Parma Calcio 1913 still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 63%.
AI verdictStrong predictive reliability
Stable and above: 66.7% success across 21 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Parma Calcio 1913 FAQ
What is the next match for Parma Calcio 1913 on Foresportia?
This page shows Parma Calcio 1913's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Parma Calcio 1913's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Parma Calcio 1913's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Parma Calcio 1913?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Parma Calcio 1913, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Parma Calcio 1913: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Parma Calcio 1913 still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Parma Calcio 1913 still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 63%.