Saudi Pro League · Full time

Prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Okhdood

Saudi Pro League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Al Riyadh

Standing#15

Elo rating1459

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
DWLLL

Expected goals1.48

Full time1 - 0May 21, 2026
20:00

Al Okhdood

Standing#17

Elo rating1461

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
WDLLL

Expected goals0.74

Match context to watch
Motivation gapAlready relegatedRelegation pressureDraw closeLate-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Al Riyadh at 40.5%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 74%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (16.08%)
  • BTTSNo · 50.6%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 59.1%

1X2 probabilities

Al Riyadh40.5%
Draw33.5%
Al Okhdood26%

Main pickAl Riyadh40.5%

Confidence45%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Al Riyadh1.48
Expected total2.22
Al Okhdood0.74
40.9%Over 2.5

Over 40.9% Under 59.1%

49.4%BTTS

Yes 49.4% No 50.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X74%
X259.5%
1266.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 016.1%
  2. Likely score 2 - 011.9%
  3. Likely score 1 - 111.9%
  4. Likely score 0 - 010.8%
  5. Likely score 2 - 18.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Al Riyadh 47.8%Al Okhdood 22.7%

Draw no bet

Al Riyadh 60.9%Al Okhdood 39.1%

Win to nil

Al Riyadh 36.9%Al Okhdood 11.9%

Win by 2+ goals

Al Riyadh 28.3%Al Okhdood 5.3%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 0

Verified predictionCorrect

Al Riyadh vs Al Okhdood prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Okhdood?

The model sees an open match and gives Al Riyadh a slight edge at 40.5%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (16.08%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 49.4% and BTTS No at 50.6%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 74%, without being certain.

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Saudi Pro League

What the data says about Al Riyadh vs Al Okhdood

This Saudi Pro League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Al Riyadh sits 15th and Al Okhdood 17th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1459 for Al Riyadh and 1461 for Al Okhdood.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Al Riyadh and 26.7% for Al Okhdood. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Al Riyadh 40.5%, the draw 33.5% and Al Okhdood 26%. The expected-goals model projects 1.48 xG against 0.74, for a combined 2.22.