Saudi Pro League · Scheduled

Prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr

Saudi Pro League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Al Riyadh

Standing#17

Elo rating1435

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LWDWL

Expected goals0.77

ScheduledVS

Al-Nassr

Standing#8

Elo rating1734

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WDWLW

Expected goals2.30

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for Al-Nassr at 73.1%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelultra_stable
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 91.5%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (12.50%)
  • BTTSYes · 54.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 60.8%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Al Riyadh8.5%
Draw18.4%
Al-Nassr73.1%

Main pickAl-Nassr73.1%

Confidence90.9%

Stabilityultra_stable

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Expected goals and trends

Al Riyadh0.77
Expected total3.07
Al-Nassr2.30
60.8%Over 2.5

Over 60.8% Under 39.2%

54.4%BTTS

Yes 54.4% No 45.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X26.9%
X291.5%
1281.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 212.5%
  2. Likely score 0 - 110.4%
  3. Likely score 0 - 29.7%
  4. Likely score 1 - 19.6%
  5. Likely score 1 - 38.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Al Riyadh 9.6%Al-Nassr 42.1%

Draw no bet

Al Riyadh 10.4%Al-Nassr 89.6%

Win to nil

Al Riyadh 3.6%Al-Nassr 36%

Win by 2+ goals

Al Riyadh 1.7%Al-Nassr 46%

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr?

The model gives Al-Nassr the edge at 73.1%, with no certainty about the final result.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (12.50%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 54.4% and BTTS No at 45.6%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 91.5%, without being certain.

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Saudi Pro League

What the data says about Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr

This Saudi Pro League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Al Riyadh sits 17th and Al-Nassr 8th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1435 for Al Riyadh and 1734 for Al-Nassr.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Al Riyadh and 66.7% for Al-Nassr. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Al Riyadh 8.5%, the draw 18.4% and Al-Nassr 73.1%. The expected-goals model projects 0.77 xG against 2.30, for a combined 3.07.