Saudi Pro League · Full time

Prediction for Al-Nassr vs Damac

Saudi Pro League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Follow Al-Nassr vs Damac and today's matchesAll Saudi Pro League predictions
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Al-Nassr

Standing#1

Elo rating1534

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
DWLWW

Expected goals2.64

Full time4 - 1May 21, 2026
20:00

Damac

Standing#16

Elo rating1492

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
WLLLW

Expected goals0.52

Match context to watch
Relegation pressureLate-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for Al-Nassr at 69.3%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelCorrect
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 90.7%
  • Likely score2 - 0 (14.81%)
  • BTTSNo · 51.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 57.1%

1X2 probabilities

Al-Nassr69.3%
Draw21.3%
Damac9.3%

Main pickAl-Nassr69.3%

Confidence89.3%

StabilityCorrect

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Expected goals and trends

Al-Nassr2.64
Expected total3.16
Damac0.52
57.1%Over 2.5

Over 57.1% Under 42.9%

48.9%BTTS

Yes 48.9% No 51.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X90.7%
X230.6%
1278.7%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 0 — 14.8%
  2. Likely score 3 - 0 — 13%
  3. Likely score 1 - 0 — 11.2%
  4. Likely score 4 - 0 — 8.6%
  5. Likely score 2 - 1 — 7.7%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Al-Nassr 59.5%Damac 7.1%

Draw no bet

Al-Nassr 88.1%Damac 11.9%

Win to nil

Al-Nassr 55.3%Damac 2.9%

Win by 2+ goals

Al-Nassr 61.6%Damac 1%
Post-match review · Final score4 - 1

Verified predictionCorrect

Al-Nassr vs Damac prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Al-Nassr vs Damac?

The model gives Al-Nassr the edge at 69.3%, with no certainty about the final result.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 2 - 0 (14.81%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 48.9% and BTTS No at 51.1%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 90.7%, without being certain.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Saudi Pro League

What the data says about Al-Nassr vs Damac

This Saudi Pro League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Al-Nassr sits 1st and Damac 16th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1534 for Al-Nassr and 1492 for Damac.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Al-Nassr and 40% for Damac. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Al-Nassr 69.3%, the draw 21.3% and Damac 9.3%. The expected-goals model projects 2.64 xG against 0.52, for a combined 3.16.