Vitória Guimarães SC
Standing#2
Elo rating1473
Form index40%
Expected goals1.45
FC Arouca
Standing#14
Elo rating1510
Form index66.7%
Expected goals1.06
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Vitória Guimarães SC at 44.4%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 73.9%
- Likely score1 - 1 (12.21%)
- BTTSYes · 54.4%
- Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 50.6%
1X2 probabilities
AI prediction updated with the latest available data.
Main pickVitória Guimarães SC44.4%
Confidence55%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 49.4% Under 50.6%
Yes 54.4% No 45.6%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.2%
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 11.5%
- Likely score 1 - 0 — 11%
- Likely score 0 - 0 — 10.4%
- Likely score 1 - 2 — 8.1%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Vitória Guimarães SC vs FC Arouca prediction FAQ
What is the prediction for Vitória Guimarães SC vs FC Arouca?
The model sees an open match and gives Vitória Guimarães SC a slight edge at 44.4%; caution is appropriate.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (12.21%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 54.4% and BTTS No at 45.6%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 73.9%, without being certain.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
Liga Portugal
What the data says about Vitória Guimarães SC vs FC Arouca
This Liga Portugal fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Vitória Guimarães SC sits 2nd and FC Arouca 14th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1473 for Vitória Guimarães SC and 1510 for FC Arouca.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Vitória Guimarães SC and 66.7% for FC Arouca. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Vitória Guimarães SC 44.4%, the draw 29.5% and FC Arouca 26.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.45 xG against 1.06, for a combined 2.52.