Liga Portugal · Scheduled

First AI projection for Vitória Guimarães SC vs CD Nacional

First AI projection for this Liga Portugal fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Vitória Guimarães SC

Standing#2

Elo rating1473

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
LLLWW

Expected goals1.42

ScheduledVS

CD Nacional

Standing#13

Elo rating1460

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
WLLWW

Expected goals0.90

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Vitória Guimarães SC at 47%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 78.3%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (13.07%)
  • BTTSYes · 50.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 55.7%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Vitória Guimarães SC47%
Draw31.3%
CD Nacional21.7%

Main pickVitória Guimarães SC47%

Confidence60.9%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Vitória Guimarães SC1.42
Expected total2.32
CD Nacional0.90
44.3%Over 2.5

Over 44.3% Under 55.7%

50.2%BTTS

Yes 50.2% No 49.8%

Double chance

Available markets

1X78.3%
X253%
1268.7%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 13.1%
  2. Likely score 1 - 0 — 12.9%
  3. Likely score 0 - 0 — 12.4%
  4. Likely score 2 - 1 — 11.7%
  5. Likely score 0 - 1 — 7.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Vitória Guimarães SC 38.5%CD Nacional 23.6%

Draw no bet

Vitória Guimarães SC 68.4%CD Nacional 31.6%

Win to nil

Vitória Guimarães SC 26.2%CD Nacional 11.2%

Win by 2+ goals

Vitória Guimarães SC 21.2%CD Nacional 6%

Vitória Guimarães SC vs CD Nacional early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Vitória Guimarães SC vs CD Nacional?

The early estimate gives Vitória Guimarães SC a slight edge at 47%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (13.07%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Liga Portugal

What the data says about Vitória Guimarães SC vs CD Nacional

This Liga Portugal fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Vitória Guimarães SC sits 2nd and CD Nacional 13th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1473 for Vitória Guimarães SC and 1460 for CD Nacional.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Vitória Guimarães SC and 60% for CD Nacional. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Vitória Guimarães SC 47%, the draw 31.3% and CD Nacional 21.7%. The expected-goals model projects 1.42 xG against 0.90, for a combined 2.32.