Liga Portugal · Scheduled

First AI projection for FC Porto vs FC Arouca

First AI projection for this Liga Portugal fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow FC Porto vs FC Arouca and today's matchesAll Liga Portugal predictions
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FC Porto

Standing#8

Elo rating1792

Form index80%

Last 5 matches
WLWWW

Expected goals2.02

ScheduledVS

FC Arouca

Standing#14

Elo rating1510

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WWDLW

Expected goals0.72

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for FC Porto at 67.8%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelStable
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 89.6%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (12.78%)
  • BTTSNo · 50.6%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 54.8%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

FC Porto67.8%
Draw21.8%
FC Arouca10.4%

Main pickFC Porto67.8%

Confidence90.6%

StabilityStable

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Expected goals and trends

FC Porto2.02
Expected total2.73
FC Arouca0.72
54.8%Over 2.5

Over 54.8% Under 45.2%

49.4%BTTS

Yes 49.4% No 50.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X89.6%
X232.2%
1278.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 1 — 12.8%
  2. Likely score 1 - 0 — 12.5%
  3. Likely score 2 - 0 — 10.3%
  4. Likely score 1 - 1 — 9.9%
  5. Likely score 3 - 0 — 8.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

FC Porto 45.8%FC Arouca 12.7%

Draw no bet

FC Porto 86.7%FC Arouca 13.3%

Win to nil

FC Porto 37.9%FC Arouca 4.8%

Win by 2+ goals

FC Porto 40.6%FC Arouca 2%

FC Porto vs FC Arouca early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about FC Porto vs FC Arouca?

The early estimate gives FC Porto a slight edge at 67.8%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (12.78%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Liga Portugal

What the data says about FC Porto vs FC Arouca

This Liga Portugal fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, FC Porto sits 8th and FC Arouca 14th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1792 for FC Porto and 1510 for FC Arouca.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 80% for FC Porto and 66.7% for FC Arouca. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives FC Porto 67.8%, the draw 21.8% and FC Arouca 10.4%. The expected-goals model projects 2.02 xG against 0.72, for a combined 2.73.