Liga Portugal · Scheduled

First AI projection for FC Alverca vs CF Estrela Amadora

First AI projection for this Liga Portugal fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow FC Alverca vs CF Estrela Amadora and today's matchesAll Liga Portugal predictions
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FC Alverca

Standing#17

Elo rating1499

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
LDLWL

Expected goals1.27

ScheduledVS

CF Estrela Amadora

Standing#1

Elo rating1412

Form index13.3%

Last 5 matches
DDLLL

Expected goals1.07

Match context to watch
Draw closeRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for FC Alverca at 38.9%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 71%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (13.20%)
  • BTTSYes · 52.3%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 54.8%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

FC Alverca38.9%
Draw32%
CF Estrela Amadora29%

Main pickFC Alverca38.9%

Confidence57.9%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

FC Alverca1.27
Expected total2.35
CF Estrela Amadora1.07
45.2%Over 2.5

Over 45.2% Under 54.8%

52.3%BTTS

Yes 52.3% No 47.7%

Double chance

Available markets

1X71%
X261.1%
1268%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 13.2%
  2. Likely score 0 - 0 — 12.1%
  3. Likely score 1 - 0 — 11.2%
  4. Likely score 2 - 1 — 10.7%
  5. Likely score 0 - 1 — 9.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

FC Alverca 32.8%CF Estrela Amadora 27.1%

Draw no bet

FC Alverca 57.3%CF Estrela Amadora 42.7%

Win to nil

FC Alverca 20.6%CF Estrela Amadora 14.9%

Win by 2+ goals

FC Alverca 15.8%CF Estrela Amadora 9.8%

FC Alverca vs CF Estrela Amadora early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about FC Alverca vs CF Estrela Amadora?

The early estimate gives FC Alverca a slight edge at 38.9%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (13.20%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Liga Portugal

What the data says about FC Alverca vs CF Estrela Amadora

This Liga Portugal fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, FC Alverca sits 17th and CF Estrela Amadora 1st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1499 for FC Alverca and 1412 for CF Estrela Amadora.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for FC Alverca and 13.3% for CF Estrela Amadora. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives FC Alverca 38.9%, the draw 32% and CF Estrela Amadora 29%. The expected-goals model projects 1.27 xG against 1.07, for a combined 2.35.