Liga Portugal · Scheduled

First AI projection for CD Nacional vs CF Estrela Amadora

First AI projection for this Liga Portugal fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow CD Nacional vs CF Estrela Amadora and today's matchesAll Liga Portugal predictions
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CD Nacional

Standing#13

Elo rating1460

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
WLLWW

Expected goals1.19

ScheduledVS

CF Estrela Amadora

Standing#1

Elo rating1412

Form index13.3%

Last 5 matches
DDLLL

Expected goals1.05

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for CD Nacional at 37.4%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 70.1%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (13.79%)
  • BTTSYes · 50.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 57.8%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

CD Nacional37.4%
Draw32.8%
CF Estrela Amadora29.9%

Main pickCD Nacional37.4%

Confidence57.8%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

CD Nacional1.19
Expected total2.24
CF Estrela Amadora1.05
42.2%Over 2.5

Over 42.2% Under 57.8%

50.5%BTTS

Yes 50.5% No 49.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X70.1%
X262.6%
1267.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 13.8%
  2. Likely score 0 - 0 — 13.4%
  3. Likely score 1 - 0 — 11.5%
  4. Likely score 2 - 1 — 10.2%
  5. Likely score 0 - 1 — 9.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

CD Nacional 33.7%CF Estrela Amadora 29.3%

Draw no bet

CD Nacional 55.6%CF Estrela Amadora 44.4%

Win to nil

CD Nacional 20.2%CF Estrela Amadora 15.9%

Win by 2+ goals

CD Nacional 14.1%CF Estrela Amadora 9.8%

CD Nacional vs CF Estrela Amadora early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about CD Nacional vs CF Estrela Amadora?

The early estimate gives CD Nacional a slight edge at 37.4%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (13.79%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Liga Portugal

What the data says about CD Nacional vs CF Estrela Amadora

This Liga Portugal fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, CD Nacional sits 13th and CF Estrela Amadora 1st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1460 for CD Nacional and 1412 for CF Estrela Amadora.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for CD Nacional and 13.3% for CF Estrela Amadora. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives CD Nacional 37.4%, the draw 32.8% and CF Estrela Amadora 29.9%. The expected-goals model projects 1.19 xG against 1.05, for a combined 2.24.