Premier League · Full time

Prediction for West Ham United vs Leeds United

Premier League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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West Ham United

Standing#18

Elo rating1454

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
LLLWD

Expected goals1.38

Full time3 - 0May 24, 2026
17:00

Leeds United

Standing#14

Elo rating1596

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
WDWDW

Expected goals0.93

Match context to watch
Relegation pressureDraw closeLate-season contextRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for West Ham United at 36.3%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 65.4%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (13.69%)
  • BTTSYes · 57.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52.7%

1X2 probabilities

West Ham United36.3%
Draw29.1%
Leeds United34.6%

Main pickWest Ham United36.3%

Confidence35%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

West Ham United1.38
Expected total2.31
Leeds United0.93
52.7%Over 2.5

Over 52.7% Under 47.3%

57.5%BTTS

Yes 57.5% No 42.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X65.4%
X263.7%
1270.9%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 013.7%
  2. Likely score 1 - 112.7%
  3. Likely score 0 - 09.9%
  4. Likely score 2 - 09.4%
  5. Likely score 0 - 19.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

West Ham United 39.5%Leeds United 25.1%

Draw no bet

West Ham United 51.2%Leeds United 48.8%

Win to nil

West Ham United 29.9%Leeds United 15.5%

Win by 2+ goals

West Ham United 22.7%Leeds United 8.8%
Post-match review · Final score3 - 0

Verified predictionCorrect

West Ham United vs Leeds United prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for West Ham United vs Leeds United?

The model sees an open match and gives West Ham United a slight edge at 36.3%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (13.69%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 57.5% and BTTS No at 42.5%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 65.4%, without being certain.

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Premier League

What the data says about West Ham United vs Leeds United

This Premier League fixture belongs to a high-tempo competition where squad depth, current form and efficiency in both boxes carry significant weight.

Before kick-off, West Ham United sits 18th and Leeds United 14th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1454 for West Ham United and 1596 for Leeds United.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for West Ham United and 73.3% for Leeds United. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives West Ham United 36.3%, the draw 29.1% and Leeds United 34.6%. The expected-goals model projects 1.38 xG against 0.93, for a combined 2.31.