Premier League · Full time

Prediction for FC Fulham vs Newcastle United

Premier League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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FC Fulham

Standing#11

Elo rating1507

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
DLLWD

Expected goals1.39

Full time2 - 0May 24, 2026
17:00

Newcastle United

Standing#12

Elo rating1557

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WDWLL

Expected goals0.83

Match context to watch
Late-season contextRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Newcastle United at 37.2%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 66.2%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (15.17%)
  • BTTSYes · 57.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52.7%

1X2 probabilities

FC Fulham33.8%
Draw29%
Newcastle United37.2%

Main pickNewcastle United37.2%

Confidence20.7%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

FC Fulham1.39
Expected total2.21
Newcastle United0.83
52.7%Over 2.5

Over 52.7% Under 47.3%

57.5%BTTS

Yes 57.5% No 42.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X62.8%
X266.2%
1271%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 015.2%
  2. Likely score 1 - 112.5%
  3. Likely score 0 - 010.9%
  4. Likely score 2 - 010.5%
  5. Likely score 0 - 19%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

FC Fulham 43.9%Newcastle United 24.9%

Draw no bet

FC Fulham 47.6%Newcastle United 52.4%

Win to nil

FC Fulham 33.2%Newcastle United 14.3%

Win by 2+ goals

FC Fulham 24.4%Newcastle United 7%
Post-match review · Final score2 - 0

Verified predictionIncorrect

FC Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for FC Fulham vs Newcastle United?

The model sees an open match and gives Newcastle United a slight edge at 37.2%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (15.17%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 57.5% and BTTS No at 42.5%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 66.2%, without being certain.

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Premier League

What the data says about FC Fulham vs Newcastle United

This Premier League fixture belongs to a high-tempo competition where squad depth, current form and efficiency in both boxes carry significant weight.

Before kick-off, FC Fulham sits 11th and Newcastle United 12th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1507 for FC Fulham and 1557 for Newcastle United.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 33.3% for FC Fulham and 46.7% for Newcastle United. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives FC Fulham 33.8%, the draw 29% and Newcastle United 37.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.39 xG against 0.83, for a combined 2.21.