Premier League · Full time

Prediction for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal FC

Premier League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Crystal Palace

Standing#15

Elo rating1488

Form index13.3%

Last 5 matches
DLDLL

Expected goals0.89

Full time1 - 2May 24, 2026
17:00

Arsenal FC

Standing#1

Elo rating1751

Form index80%

Last 5 matches
WWWWL

Expected goals1.29

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleEuropean fixture nearbyLate-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Arsenal FC at 56.6%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 84.2%
  • Likely score0 - 1 (14.60%)
  • BTTSNo · 50.7%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53.1%

1X2 probabilities

Crystal Palace15.8%
Draw27.5%
Arsenal FC56.6%

Main pickArsenal FC56.6%

Confidence58.9%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Crystal Palace0.89
Expected total2.18
Arsenal FC1.29
46.9%Over 2.5

Over 46.9% Under 53.1%

49.3%BTTS

Yes 49.3% No 50.7%

Double chance

Available markets

1X43.4%
X284.2%
1272.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 1 — 14.6%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 13%
  3. Likely score 0 - 0 — 11.3%
  4. Likely score 1 - 0 — 10%
  5. Likely score 0 - 2 — 9.4%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Crystal Palace 27.4%Arsenal FC 41.2%

Draw no bet

Crystal Palace 21.9%Arsenal FC 78.2%

Win to nil

Crystal Palace 16.4%Arsenal FC 30.2%

Win by 2+ goals

Crystal Palace 8.6%Arsenal FC 21.2%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 2

Verified predictionCorrect

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal FC prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal FC?

The model sees an open match and gives Arsenal FC a slight edge at 56.6%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 0 - 1 (14.60%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 49.3% and BTTS No at 50.7%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 84.2%, without being certain.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Premier League

What the data says about Crystal Palace vs Arsenal FC

This Premier League fixture belongs to a high-tempo competition where squad depth, current form and efficiency in both boxes carry significant weight.

Before kick-off, Crystal Palace sits 15th and Arsenal FC 1st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1488 for Crystal Palace and 1751 for Arsenal FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 13.3% for Crystal Palace and 80% for Arsenal FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Crystal Palace 15.8%, the draw 27.5% and Arsenal FC 56.6%. The expected-goals model projects 0.89 xG against 1.29, for a combined 2.18.