Premier League · Full time

Prediction for Burnley FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

Premier League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Burnley FC

Standing#19

Elo rating1365

Form index6.7%

Last 5 matches
LDLLL

Expected goals1.85

Full time1 - 1May 24, 2026
17:00

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Standing#20

Elo rating1357

Form index13.3%

Last 5 matches
DLDLL

Expected goals0.95

Match context to watch
Already relegatedDraw closeLate-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Wolverhampton Wanderers at 36.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 66.8%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (11.22%)
  • BTTSYes · 55.7%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 50%

1X2 probabilities

Burnley FC33.2%
Draw30%
Wolverhampton Wanderers36.8%

Main pickWolverhampton Wanderers36.8%

Confidence20.8%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Burnley FC1.85
Expected total2.80
Wolverhampton Wanderers0.95
50%Over 2.5

Over 50% Under 50%

55.7%BTTS

Yes 55.7% No 44.3%

Double chance

Available markets

1X63.2%
X266.8%
1270%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 011.2%
  2. Likely score 1 - 110.7%
  3. Likely score 2 - 010.3%
  4. Likely score 2 - 19.9%
  5. Likely score 3 - 06.4%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Burnley FC 38.6%Wolverhampton Wanderers 15.8%

Draw no bet

Burnley FC 47.5%Wolverhampton Wanderers 52.5%

Win to nil

Burnley FC 32.7%Wolverhampton Wanderers 9.9%

Win by 2+ goals

Burnley FC 33.8%Wolverhampton Wanderers 6.5%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 1

Verified predictionIncorrect

Burnley FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Burnley FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

The model sees an open match and gives Wolverhampton Wanderers a slight edge at 36.8%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (11.22%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 55.7% and BTTS No at 44.3%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 66.8%, without being certain.

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Premier League

What the data says about Burnley FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

This Premier League fixture belongs to a high-tempo competition where squad depth, current form and efficiency in both boxes carry significant weight.

Before kick-off, Burnley FC sits 19th and Wolverhampton Wanderers 20th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1365 for Burnley FC and 1357 for Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 6.7% for Burnley FC and 13.3% for Wolverhampton Wanderers. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Burnley FC 33.2%, the draw 30% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 36.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.85 xG against 0.95, for a combined 2.80.