Premier League · Full time

Prediction for AFC Sunderland vs Chelsea FC

Premier League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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AFC Sunderland

Standing#7

Elo rating1509

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
WDDLL

Expected goals0.93

Full time2 - 1May 24, 2026
17:00

Chelsea FC

Standing#10

Elo rating1526

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
WDLLL

Expected goals1.82

Match context to watch
Late-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Chelsea FC at 44.5%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 75.5%
  • Likely score0 - 1 (11.60%)
  • BTTSYes · 51.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 55.3%

1X2 probabilities

AFC Sunderland24.5%
Draw31%
Chelsea FC44.5%

Main pickChelsea FC44.5%

Confidence44.1%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

AFC Sunderland0.93
Expected total2.75
Chelsea FC1.82
44.7%Over 2.5

Over 44.7% Under 55.3%

51.4%BTTS

Yes 51.4% No 48.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X55.5%
X275.5%
1269%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 111.6%
  2. Likely score 1 - 110.8%
  3. Likely score 0 - 210.6%
  4. Likely score 1 - 29.8%
  5. Likely score 0 - 36.4%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

AFC Sunderland 16.1%Chelsea FC 39.5%

Draw no bet

AFC Sunderland 35.5%Chelsea FC 64.5%

Win to nil

AFC Sunderland 9.9%Chelsea FC 33.3%

Win by 2+ goals

AFC Sunderland 6.3%Chelsea FC 33.7%
Post-match review · Final score2 - 1

Verified predictionIncorrect

AFC Sunderland vs Chelsea FC prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for AFC Sunderland vs Chelsea FC?

The model sees an open match and gives Chelsea FC a slight edge at 44.5%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 0 - 1 (11.60%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 51.4% and BTTS No at 48.6%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 75.5%, without being certain.

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Premier League

What the data says about AFC Sunderland vs Chelsea FC

This Premier League fixture belongs to a high-tempo competition where squad depth, current form and efficiency in both boxes carry significant weight.

Before kick-off, AFC Sunderland sits 7th and Chelsea FC 10th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1509 for AFC Sunderland and 1526 for Chelsea FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 33.3% for AFC Sunderland and 26.7% for Chelsea FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives AFC Sunderland 24.5%, the draw 31% and Chelsea FC 44.5%. The expected-goals model projects 0.93 xG against 1.82, for a combined 2.75.