MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Seattle Sounders FC

Standing#11

Elo rating1560

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
LLWDD

Expected goals2.46

ScheduledVSJuly 17, 2026
04:30

Portland Timbers

Standing#26

Elo rating1426

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
LLDWL

Expected goals0.89

Match context to watch
Cascadia derby

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Seattle Sounders FC at 49%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 79.5%
  • Likely score2 - 0 (10.64%)
  • BTTSYes · 51.9%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 50.8%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Seattle Sounders FC49%
Draw30.5%
Portland Timbers20.5%

Main pickSeattle Sounders FC49%

Confidence84.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Seattle Sounders FC2.46
Expected total3.34
Portland Timbers0.89
49.2%Over 2.5

Over 49.2% Under 50.8%

51.9%BTTS

Yes 51.9% No 48.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X79.5%
X251%
1269.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 010.6%
  2. Likely score 2 - 19.4%
  3. Likely score 3 - 08.7%
  4. Likely score 1 - 08.7%
  5. Likely score 3 - 17.7%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Seattle Sounders FC 41.1%Portland Timbers 8.6%

Draw no bet

Seattle Sounders FC 70.6%Portland Timbers 29.4%

Win to nil

Seattle Sounders FC 37.5%Portland Timbers 4.9%

Win by 2+ goals

Seattle Sounders FC 49.5%Portland Timbers 3.4%

Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers?

The early estimate gives Seattle Sounders FC a slight edge at 49%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 0 (10.64%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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MLS

What the data says about Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Seattle Sounders FC sits 11th and Portland Timbers 26th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1560 for Seattle Sounders FC and 1426 for Portland Timbers.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 33.3% for Seattle Sounders FC and 26.7% for Portland Timbers. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Seattle Sounders FC 49%, the draw 30.5% and Portland Timbers 20.5%. The expected-goals model projects 2.46 xG against 0.89, for a combined 3.34.