MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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San Jose Earthquakes

Standing#9

Elo rating1600

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
WLLDD

Expected goals3.56

ScheduledVSJuly 23, 2026
04:30

Orlando City SC

Standing#28

Elo rating1438

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LDWLW

Expected goals1.52

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for San Jose Earthquakes at 42.2%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 69.1%
  • Likely score3 - 1 (7.11%)
  • BTTSYes · 65.8%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 64.6%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

San Jose Earthquakes42.2%
Draw26.9%
Orlando City SC30.9%

Main pickSan Jose Earthquakes42.2%

Confidence77.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

San Jose Earthquakes3.56
Expected total5.08
Orlando City SC1.52
64.6%Over 2.5

Over 64.6% Under 35.4%

65.8%BTTS

Yes 65.8% No 34.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X69.1%
X257.8%
1273.1%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 3 - 17.1%
  2. Likely score 4 - 16.3%
  3. Likely score 2 - 16%
  4. Likely score 3 - 25.4%
  5. Likely score 4 - 24.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

San Jose Earthquakes 21.9%Orlando City SC 2.9%

Draw no bet

San Jose Earthquakes 57.7%Orlando City SC 42.3%

Win to nil

San Jose Earthquakes 21.2%Orlando City SC 2.2%

Win by 2+ goals

San Jose Earthquakes 58.5%Orlando City SC 4.9%

San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC?

The early estimate gives San Jose Earthquakes a slight edge at 42.2%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 3 - 1 (7.11%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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MLS

What the data says about San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, San Jose Earthquakes sits 9th and Orlando City SC 28th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1600 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1438 for Orlando City SC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 33.3% for San Jose Earthquakes and 46.7% for Orlando City SC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives San Jose Earthquakes 42.2%, the draw 26.9% and Orlando City SC 30.9%. The expected-goals model projects 3.56 xG against 1.52, for a combined 5.08.