MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

San Jose Earthquakes

Standing#9

Elo rating1600

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
WLLDD

Expected goals2.34

ScheduledVSJuly 26, 2026
04:30

Los Angeles Galaxy

Standing#9

Elo rating1486

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
DWLWD

Expected goals1.46

Match context to watch
California ClásicoLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for San Jose Earthquakes at 42.7%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 69.9%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (8.95%)
  • BTTSYes · 65.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 63.8%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

San Jose Earthquakes42.7%
Draw27.2%
Los Angeles Galaxy30.1%

Main pickSan Jose Earthquakes42.7%

Confidence80%

StabilityRisk

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Expected goals and trends

San Jose Earthquakes2.34
Expected total3.80
Los Angeles Galaxy1.46
63.8%Over 2.5

Over 63.8% Under 36.2%

65.2%BTTS

Yes 65.2% No 34.8%

Double chance

Available markets

1X69.9%
X257.3%
1272.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 18.9%
  2. Likely score 1 - 17.6%
  3. Likely score 3 - 17%
  4. Likely score 2 - 26.5%
  5. Likely score 2 - 06.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

San Jose Earthquakes 23.3%Los Angeles Galaxy 9.6%

Draw no bet

San Jose Earthquakes 58.7%Los Angeles Galaxy 41.3%

Win to nil

San Jose Earthquakes 21%Los Angeles Galaxy 7.3%

Win by 2+ goals

San Jose Earthquakes 36.2%Los Angeles Galaxy 9.9%

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

The early estimate gives San Jose Earthquakes a slight edge at 42.7%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (8.95%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

MLS

What the data says about San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, San Jose Earthquakes sits 9th and Los Angeles Galaxy 9th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1600 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1486 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 33.3% for San Jose Earthquakes and 53.3% for Los Angeles Galaxy. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives San Jose Earthquakes 42.7%, the draw 27.2% and Los Angeles Galaxy 30.1%. The expected-goals model projects 2.34 xG against 1.46, for a combined 3.80.