MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for Red Bull New York vs Charlotte FC

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Red Bull New York

Standing#18

Elo rating1489

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WDWWL

Expected goals3.61

ScheduledVSJuly 26, 2026
00:30

Charlotte FC

Standing#24

Elo rating1519

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WWLDL

Expected goals1.44

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Red Bull New York at 39.3%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 70.2%
  • Likely score3 - 1 (7.24%)
  • BTTSYes · 56.9%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52.4%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Red Bull New York39.3%
Draw30.9%
Charlotte FC29.8%

Main pickRed Bull New York39.3%

Confidence55%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Red Bull New York3.61
Expected total5.05
Charlotte FC1.44
52.4%Over 2.5

Over 52.4% Under 47.6%

56.9%BTTS

Yes 56.9% No 43.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X70.2%
X260.7%
1269.1%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 3 - 17.2%
  2. Likely score 4 - 16.5%
  3. Likely score 2 - 16%
  4. Likely score 3 - 25.2%
  5. Likely score 3 - 05%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Red Bull New York 23.8%Charlotte FC 2.7%

Draw no bet

Red Bull New York 56.9%Charlotte FC 43.1%

Win to nil

Red Bull New York 23.1%Charlotte FC 2%

Win by 2+ goals

Red Bull New York 61%Charlotte FC 4.2%

Red Bull New York vs Charlotte FC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Red Bull New York vs Charlotte FC?

The early estimate gives Red Bull New York a slight edge at 39.3%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 3 - 1 (7.24%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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MLS

What the data says about Red Bull New York vs Charlotte FC

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Red Bull New York sits 18th and Charlotte FC 24th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1489 for Red Bull New York and 1519 for Charlotte FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Red Bull New York and 46.7% for Charlotte FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Red Bull New York 39.3%, the draw 30.9% and Charlotte FC 29.8%. The expected-goals model projects 3.61 xG against 1.44, for a combined 5.05.