MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Portland Timbers

Standing#20

Elo rating1426

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
LLDWL

Expected goals1.67

ScheduledVSJuly 23, 2026
04:30

FC Dallas

Standing#5

Elo rating1571

Form index80%

Last 5 matches
WWLWW

Expected goals2.68

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for FC Dallas at 40.1%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 68.1%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (7.74%)
  • BTTSYes · 63.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 61.2%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Portland Timbers31.9%
Draw28%
FC Dallas40.1%

Main pickFC Dallas40.1%

Confidence49.1%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Portland Timbers1.67
Expected total4.35
FC Dallas2.68
61.2%Over 2.5

Over 61.2% Under 38.8%

63.5%BTTS

Yes 63.5% No 36.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X59.9%
X268.1%
1272%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 2 — 7.7%
  2. Likely score 1 - 3 — 6.9%
  3. Likely score 2 - 2 — 6.5%
  4. Likely score 1 - 1 — 5.8%
  5. Likely score 2 - 3 — 5.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Portland Timbers 6.9%FC Dallas 18.8%

Draw no bet

Portland Timbers 44.4%FC Dallas 55.6%

Win to nil

Portland Timbers 5.5%FC Dallas 17.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Portland Timbers 10.4%FC Dallas 39.5%

Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

The early estimate gives FC Dallas a slight edge at 40.1%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (7.74%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

MLS

What the data says about Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Portland Timbers sits 20th and FC Dallas 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1426 for Portland Timbers and 1571 for FC Dallas.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Portland Timbers and 80% for FC Dallas. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Portland Timbers 31.9%, the draw 28% and FC Dallas 40.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.67 xG against 2.68, for a combined 4.35.