MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for Philadelphia Union vs Red Bull New York

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow Philadelphia Union vs Red Bull New York and today's matchesAll MLS predictions
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Philadelphia Union

Standing#30

Elo rating1430

Form index13.3%

Last 5 matches
LDLLD

Expected goals1.04

ScheduledVSJuly 23, 2026
01:30

Red Bull New York

Standing#10

Elo rating1489

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WDWWL

Expected goals1.10

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Philadelphia Union at 41.4%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 72.7%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (13.45%)
  • BTTSYes · 54.8%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50.2%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Philadelphia Union41.4%
Draw31.3%
Red Bull New York27.3%

Main pickPhiladelphia Union41.4%

Confidence79.6%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Philadelphia Union1.04
Expected total2.15
Red Bull New York1.10
50.2%Over 2.5

Over 50.2% Under 49.8%

54.8%BTTS

Yes 54.8% No 45.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X72.7%
X258.6%
1268.7%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 13.4%
  2. Likely score 0 - 1 — 12.9%
  3. Likely score 1 - 0 — 12.2%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 11.7%
  5. Likely score 1 - 2 — 7.4%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Philadelphia Union 33.2%Red Bull New York 35.3%

Draw no bet

Philadelphia Union 60.2%Red Bull New York 39.8%

Win to nil

Philadelphia Union 21.1%Red Bull New York 23.2%

Win by 2+ goals

Philadelphia Union 12.6%Red Bull New York 14.5%

Philadelphia Union vs Red Bull New York early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Philadelphia Union vs Red Bull New York?

The early estimate gives Philadelphia Union a slight edge at 41.4%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (13.45%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

MLS

What the data says about Philadelphia Union vs Red Bull New York

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Philadelphia Union sits 30th and Red Bull New York 10th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1430 for Philadelphia Union and 1489 for Red Bull New York.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 13.3% for Philadelphia Union and 66.7% for Red Bull New York. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Philadelphia Union 41.4%, the draw 31.3% and Red Bull New York 27.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.04 xG against 1.10, for a combined 2.15.