New York City FC
Standing#14
Elo rating1510
Form index46.7%
Expected goals1.51
01:30
Chicago Fire FC
Standing#7
Elo rating1570
Form index60%
Expected goals2.31
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for New York City FC at 37.4%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 68.5%
- Likely score1 - 2 (8.84%)
- BTTSYes · 56.7%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52%
First AI projection
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
Main pickNew York City FC37.4%
Confidence53.8%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 52% Under 48%
Yes 56.7% No 43.3%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 1 - 2 — 8.8%
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 7.7%
- Likely score 1 - 3 — 6.8%
- Likely score 2 - 2 — 6.7%
- Likely score 0 - 2 — 5.9%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
New York City FC vs Chicago Fire FC early projection FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about New York City FC vs Chicago Fire FC?
The early estimate gives New York City FC a slight edge at 37.4%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (8.84%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
MLS
What the data says about New York City FC vs Chicago Fire FC
This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.
Before kick-off, New York City FC sits 14th and Chicago Fire FC 7th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1510 for New York City FC and 1570 for Chicago Fire FC.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for New York City FC and 60% for Chicago Fire FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives New York City FC 37.4%, the draw 31.1% and Chicago Fire FC 31.5%. The expected-goals model projects 1.51 xG against 2.31, for a combined 3.82.