MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for New England Revolution vs Toronto FC

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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New England Revolution

Standing#3

Elo rating1502

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
LWLWW

Expected goals2.15

ScheduledVSJuly 23, 2026
01:30

Toronto FC

Standing#29

Elo rating1431

Form index6.7%

Last 5 matches
LLLDL

Expected goals0.92

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for New England Revolution at 46.2%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 77.3%
  • Likely score2 - 0 (10.70%)
  • BTTSYes · 52.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 51.3%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

New England Revolution46.2%
Draw31.1%
Toronto FC22.7%

Main pickNew England Revolution46.2%

Confidence82.3%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

New England Revolution2.15
Expected total3.08
Toronto FC0.92
48.7%Over 2.5

Over 48.7% Under 51.3%

52.5%BTTS

Yes 52.5% No 47.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X77.3%
X253.8%
1268.9%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 0 — 10.7%
  2. Likely score 1 - 0 — 9.9%
  3. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.9%
  4. Likely score 1 - 1 — 9.2%
  5. Likely score 3 - 0 — 7.7%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

New England Revolution 39.7%Toronto FC 11.6%

Draw no bet

New England Revolution 67%Toronto FC 33%

Win to nil

New England Revolution 35%Toronto FC 6.8%

Win by 2+ goals

New England Revolution 41.7%Toronto FC 4.6%

New England Revolution vs Toronto FC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?

The early estimate gives New England Revolution a slight edge at 46.2%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 0 (10.70%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

MLS

What the data says about New England Revolution vs Toronto FC

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, New England Revolution sits 3rd and Toronto FC 29th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1502 for New England Revolution and 1431 for Toronto FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for New England Revolution and 6.7% for Toronto FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives New England Revolution 46.2%, the draw 31.1% and Toronto FC 22.7%. The expected-goals model projects 2.15 xG against 0.92, for a combined 3.08.