MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for New England Revolution vs Atlanta United FC

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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New England Revolution

Standing#3

Elo rating1502

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
LWLWW

Expected goals1.62

ScheduledVSJuly 26, 2026
01:30

Atlanta United FC

Standing#23

Elo rating1366

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LDLWW

Expected goals0.68

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for New England Revolution at 43.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 76.2%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (16.26%)
  • BTTSYes · 50.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 54.6%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

New England Revolution43.8%
Draw32.4%
Atlanta United FC23.8%

Main pickNew England Revolution43.8%

Confidence81.2%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

New England Revolution1.62
Expected total2.30
Atlanta United FC0.68
45.4%Over 2.5

Over 45.4% Under 54.6%

50.5%BTTS

Yes 50.5% No 49.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X76.2%
X256.2%
1267.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 016.3%
  2. Likely score 2 - 013.2%
  3. Likely score 1 - 111%
  4. Likely score 0 - 010%
  5. Likely score 2 - 18.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

New England Revolution 50.8%Atlanta United FC 19.8%

Draw no bet

New England Revolution 64.8%Atlanta United FC 35.2%

Win to nil

New England Revolution 40.4%Atlanta United FC 9.4%

Win by 2+ goals

New England Revolution 32.9%Atlanta United FC 3.8%

New England Revolution vs Atlanta United FC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about New England Revolution vs Atlanta United FC?

The early estimate gives New England Revolution a slight edge at 43.8%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 0 (16.26%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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MLS

What the data says about New England Revolution vs Atlanta United FC

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, New England Revolution sits 3rd and Atlanta United FC 23rd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1502 for New England Revolution and 1366 for Atlanta United FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for New England Revolution and 46.7% for Atlanta United FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives New England Revolution 43.8%, the draw 32.4% and Atlanta United FC 23.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.62 xG against 0.68, for a combined 2.30.