MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Los Angeles FC

Standing#6

Elo rating1548

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
WLLLD

Expected goals3.87

ScheduledVSJuly 26, 2026
04:30

Sporting Kansas City

Standing#18

Elo rating1354

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LWWLD

Expected goals0.74

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for Los Angeles FC at 64.5%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelStable
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 87.4%
  • Likely score3 - 0 (9.61%)
  • BTTSYes · 55.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 62.1%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Los Angeles FC64.5%
Draw22.9%
Sporting Kansas City12.6%

Main pickLos Angeles FC64.5%

Confidence82%

StabilityStable

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Expected goals and trends

Los Angeles FC3.87
Expected total4.61
Sporting Kansas City0.74
62.1%Over 2.5

Over 62.1% Under 37.9%

55.1%BTTS

Yes 55.1% No 44.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X87.4%
X235.5%
1277%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 3 - 09.6%
  2. Likely score 4 - 09.3%
  3. Likely score 2 - 07.5%
  4. Likely score 5 - 07.2%
  5. Likely score 3 - 17.1%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Los Angeles FC 47.6%Sporting Kansas City 2.1%

Draw no bet

Los Angeles FC 83.7%Sporting Kansas City 16.3%

Win to nil

Los Angeles FC 46.6%Sporting Kansas City 1.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Los Angeles FC 77.5%Sporting Kansas City 0.8%

Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

The early estimate gives Los Angeles FC a slight edge at 64.5%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 3 - 0 (9.61%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

MLS

What the data says about Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Los Angeles FC sits 6th and Sporting Kansas City 18th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1548 for Los Angeles FC and 1354 for Sporting Kansas City.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Los Angeles FC and 46.7% for Sporting Kansas City. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Los Angeles FC 64.5%, the draw 22.9% and Sporting Kansas City 12.6%. The expected-goals model projects 3.87 xG against 0.74, for a combined 4.61.