MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for Houston Dynamo FC vs D.C. United

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Houston Dynamo FC

Standing#8

Elo rating1488

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
DWLWW

Expected goals1.45

ScheduledVSJuly 23, 2026
02:30

D.C. United

Standing#11

Elo rating1419

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
DDLDW

Expected goals0.94

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Houston Dynamo FC at 47.9%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 78.2%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (13.30%)
  • BTTSYes · 53.7%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50.9%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Houston Dynamo FC47.9%
Draw30.3%
D.C. United21.9%

Main pickHouston Dynamo FC47.9%

Confidence83.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Houston Dynamo FC1.45
Expected total2.39
D.C. United0.94
50.9%Over 2.5

Over 50.9% Under 49.1%

53.7%BTTS

Yes 53.7% No 46.3%

Double chance

Available markets

1X78.2%
X252.1%
1269.7%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 0 — 13.3%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.5%
  3. Likely score 2 - 0 — 9.7%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 9.2%
  5. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.1%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Houston Dynamo FC 39.1%D.C. United 23.4%

Draw no bet

Houston Dynamo FC 68.7%D.C. United 31.3%

Win to nil

Houston Dynamo FC 29.6%D.C. United 13.9%

Win by 2+ goals

Houston Dynamo FC 24%D.C. United 8.1%

Houston Dynamo FC vs D.C. United early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Houston Dynamo FC vs D.C. United?

The early estimate gives Houston Dynamo FC a slight edge at 47.9%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 0 (13.30%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

MLS

What the data says about Houston Dynamo FC vs D.C. United

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Houston Dynamo FC sits 8th and D.C. United 11th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1488 for Houston Dynamo FC and 1419 for D.C. United.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Houston Dynamo FC and 40% for D.C. United. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Houston Dynamo FC 47.9%, the draw 30.3% and D.C. United 21.9%. The expected-goals model projects 1.45 xG against 0.94, for a combined 2.39.