MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for D.C. United vs Toronto FC

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow D.C. United vs Toronto FC and today's matchesAll MLS predictions
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D.C. United

Standing#27

Elo rating1419

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
DDLDW

Expected goals2.42

ScheduledVSJuly 26, 2026
01:30

Toronto FC

Standing#29

Elo rating1431

Form index6.7%

Last 5 matches
LLLDL

Expected goals1.82

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for D.C. United at 38.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 69%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (7.68%)
  • BTTSYes · 58.8%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 54.9%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

D.C. United38.8%
Draw30.2%
Toronto FC31%

Main pickD.C. United38.8%

Confidence55.2%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

D.C. United2.42
Expected total4.24
Toronto FC1.82
54.9%Over 2.5

Over 54.9% Under 45.1%

58.8%BTTS

Yes 58.8% No 41.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X69%
X261.2%
1269.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 1 — 7.7%
  2. Likely score 2 - 2 — 7%
  3. Likely score 1 - 1 — 6.3%
  4. Likely score 3 - 1 — 6.2%
  5. Likely score 1 - 2 — 5.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

D.C. United 16.2%Toronto FC 8.9%

Draw no bet

D.C. United 55.6%Toronto FC 44.4%

Win to nil

D.C. United 14.7%Toronto FC 7.4%

Win by 2+ goals

D.C. United 32%Toronto FC 14.4%

D.C. United vs Toronto FC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about D.C. United vs Toronto FC?

The early estimate gives D.C. United a slight edge at 38.8%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (7.68%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

MLS

What the data says about D.C. United vs Toronto FC

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, D.C. United sits 27th and Toronto FC 29th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1419 for D.C. United and 1431 for Toronto FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for D.C. United and 6.7% for Toronto FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives D.C. United 38.8%, the draw 30.2% and Toronto FC 31%. The expected-goals model projects 2.42 xG against 1.82, for a combined 4.24.